2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Hillary leads Bernie by only 235 - There are 1,400 still up for grabs [View all]beedle
(1,235 posts)ie. being purposely stupid.
when comparing where Hillary was in 2008 and Bernie is in 2016 in terms of percentage of remaining delegates needed to win.
Hillary, with 509 remaming delegates and behind 129 delegates needed to win (509/2)+129+ 1 delegates or 384.5 delegates.
Bernie with 1400 remaining delegates and behind 235 delegates needs to win (1400/2)+235+1 delegates or 936 delegates.
so in terms of percent needed to win, Hillary needed on April 24, 2008, 384.5/509 or ~75% of her remaining delegates.
Bernie needs on April 24, 2016 936/1400 or 67% of the remaining delegates.
Either way, using her ratio of needed votes as compared to remaining votes (Bernie for example had a ratio of 17 to 100 or 5.9 times more votes available than the number of votes he is behind ... NOT the same thing as the percentage of votes needed as compared to the votes remaining) or the percentage of votes needed as compared to remaining votes, Bernie is in a better position.
The numbers are here,
Bernie 1400 delegates remaining and is behind by 235 vs
Hilary 505 delegates remaining and was behind by 129
show me your math that shows Hillary was better off than Bernie is now.