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2016 Postmortem

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

1. LOL

Reply to mzmolly (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 03:51 PM

Oct 2012

But the poll should not be used to imply that the race is tightening further in Ohio.

...

Over all, the stronger poll in Ohio for Mr. Romney slightly outweighed the poorer one for him in Virginia. His chances of winning the Electoral College inched up to 26.4 percent from 25.6 percent in Friday’s forecast.

This is why Nate Silver does nothing for me. Yes, Romney's advantage barely ticked up ... but again, inconsistencies from Silver.

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Highlight:

Nate Silver's analysis re: the controversial Ohio poll, indicating a tied race [View all] mzmolly Oct 2012 OP

LOL Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #1

Exactly, assuming all polls are good. geek tragedy Oct 2012 #2

the hidden fact 73 to 27 is a freakin' landslide in any and all political, sport, betting odds graham4anything Oct 2012 #3

73-27 is more akin to leading by 7-10 points at the end of 3rd quarter. geek tragedy Oct 2012 #4

no its not. another debbie downer philosophy. There are only 60-90 seconds left. graham4anything Oct 2012 #6

Polls are not points on the board. geek tragedy Oct 2012 #7

and tens of millions already voted, therefore these polls don't even count those graham4anything Oct 2012 #9

Best analogy yet WeekendWarrior Oct 2012 #12

Thanks for posting this. Grateful for Hope Oct 2012 #5

It's great that the President ProSense Oct 2012 #8

Mason dixon showed McSame winning Ohio in 08, by 2 points. mzmolly Oct 2012 #10

Yup, pro Republican. Thanks n/t ProSense Oct 2012 #11