2016 Postmortem

Zynx

(21,328 posts)

32. It's more the case that the exit polls are out of line with pre-election polling due to our exit

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:47 AM

May 2016

polls being run incompetently and being poorly funded so as not to have proper sampling techniques. Just because one runs an exit poll doesn't mean it's being done well.

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I predict that tomorrow in Indiana, Hillary will do substantially better ... [View all] Scuba May 2016 OP

. Dr Hobbitstein May 2016 #1

self portrait? Ed Suspicious May 2016 #8

-1 for being totally unoriginal and juvenile. Buzz Clik May 2016 #11

Protecting his ass, in case Bernie puts his hand on it. Fuddnik May 2016 #28

+1 Buzz Clik May 2016 #10

This message was self-deleted by its author IamMab May 2016 #38

So you're already test driving conspiracies on why BS is going to lose tomorrow? n/t SFnomad May 2016 #2

Nope, just a student of history ... Scuba May 2016 #3

That's because Hillary's supporters typically vote in the evening after work. Renew Deal May 2016 #17

Local time. Indiana has two time zones. LiberalFighter May 2016 #30

Link for your claim that "Hillary's supporters typically vote in the evening after work.?" tabasco May 2016 #56

Are those the same numbers that Tim Robbins tried to use? GusBob May 2016 #19

I've never seen any debunking of these numbers. Provide a link or edit or ... Scuba May 2016 #20

The numbers you used are addressed at this link. Dr Hobbitstein May 2016 #39

Interesting that the very first example in this "debunking" links to a CNN poll that does not ... Scuba May 2016 #40

The data is there... Dr Hobbitstein May 2016 #42

No, the data is not there. Scuba May 2016 #43

It most certainly is. Dr Hobbitstein May 2016 #46

You're looking at adjusted exit polls. Scuba May 2016 #49

Your "unadjusted exit polls" are debunked in the RawStory article I posted. Dr Hobbitstein May 2016 #50

No, they're not debunked in the rawstory article. Scuba May 2016 #51

But they are. Dr Hobbitstein May 2016 #52

That does not begin to debunk the unadjusted totals. Scuba May 2016 #53

The totals were written by a conspiracy theorist. Dr Hobbitstein May 2016 #54

Ad hominem. Scuba May 2016 #58

They are not from a legitimate source is what I'm saying. Dr Hobbitstein May 2016 #59

This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel May 2016 #26

Yup MissDeeds May 2016 #4

Amen! onehandle May 2016 #5

She will do better due to late minute band wagoning. joshcryer May 2016 #6

I predict that Clinton will win because Indianapolis and Gary will vote heavily in her favor KingFlorez May 2016 #7

This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel May 2016 #12

It is exam week in Indiana this week. LiberalFighter May 2016 #31

This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel May 2016 #34

I predict that regardless of the outcome, Sanders's people will claim, "Foul!" Buzz Clik May 2016 #9

Sanders has never lost an election alcibiades_mystery May 2016 #27

This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel May 2016 #35

.. Buzz Clik May 2016 #36

This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel May 2016 #37

+ 1 JoePhilly May 2016 #63

Preemptive whining? nt Cali_Democrat May 2016 #13

"Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls" Garrett78 May 2016 #14

"One Reason Why You Should Disregard Nate Silver" VulgarPoet May 2016 #29

Exit polls are historically unreliable for numerous reasons. Garrett78 May 2016 #62

Ya, Sanders people have gotten ahead of that 8 ball cry foul before it happens instead of seabeyond May 2016 #15

Most of Hillary's vote typically comes in at night after people get out of work. Renew Deal May 2016 #16

Higher than usual early voting in Indiana. LiberalFighter May 2016 #33

Oh, that's too easy a prediction to make. Kip Humphrey May 2016 #18

Yep. I understand that DWS had a meeting yesterday with the Koch Brothers and the head of Diebold Nye Bevan May 2016 #21

That wouldn't surprise me in the least. Scuba May 2016 #24

lolz obamanut2012 May 2016 #48

Don't lose mad...just lose. nt LexVegas May 2016 #22

You know it madokie May 2016 #23

Narratives can't write themselves, yes? Maru Kitteh May 2016 #25

It's more the case that the exit polls are out of line with pre-election polling due to our exit Zynx May 2016 #32

No, the problem is exit polls not supporting vote counts. Scuba May 2016 #41

I predict Bernie Winning by a Landslide Joob May 2016 #44

I suspect most fortune cookies are more accurate Nonhlanhla May 2016 #45

I usually hold onto them... waiting. Joob May 2016 #47

Sort of like Chicago and the rest of Illinois? God love those machines. nm floriduck May 2016 #55

I wonder if there is a worthwhile comment in the 52 missing replies. FlatBaroque May 2016 #57

doubt it dana_b May 2016 #61

yeah, it's funny how that ALWAYS works now for the more dana_b May 2016 #60