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firebrand80

(2,760 posts)
11. Everyone has weaknesses
Mon May 16, 2016, 10:43 AM
May 2016

The good news for Hillary is that I think she matches up against well against Trump

-Her poor favorability ratings is a weakness, but Trumps are even higher. The numbers suggest that a significant number of voters don't like either one, so for those folks it comes back to who would make the better president. On that question, it's not even a contest.

-Her scandals/trustworthiness. Again, Trump has just as much baggage if not more, so this is also a wash at best.

-Her campaign "style." She is not a talented campaigner, and she's coming on the heels of one of the best campaigners in history, which makes her look worse. The good news is that she's at her best after she takes a punch and hits back. Her best time in this campaign? Bouncing back to win NV after losing NH. In 2008? Bouncing back to win NH after losing Iowa, and winning TX, OH, and PA after she was left for dead. Trump is going to attack her relentlessly, and the media is going to pounce on every possible indication of her weakness. Even though she's favored, Trump sucks up most of the oxygen in the room. This puts her in the odd place of being an underdog of sorts, even though she's favored to win. That's just fine with me, she performs better as an underdog than she is as a frontrunner.

This is all before we get to the GOP's demographic/EV map problem, which Trump likely makes worse instead of better.

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