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2016 Postmortem

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

6. Nope. I do not believe for a minute Johnson will get 10% of the vote and Stein will get 6%.

Reply to Human101948 (Reply #2)

Mon Jun 27, 2016, 09:26 AM

Jun 2016

I also take solace in the fact that those results are contradicted by the results in the A + rated ABC WAPO poll*:

http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1178a12016Election.pdf

Clinton 47 Trump 37 Johnson 7 Stein 3

*http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

The pregnant question. Could Trump win? Of course. But I would rather have our hand than his.

HRC leads by 6 points (with rounding in a four man race) and 7 points with rounding in a two man race:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

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Rocky stretch hurts Trump in poll, but race with Clinton still close [View all] Human101948 Jun 2016 OP

Thank you for bringing that to our attention. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2016 #1

That doesn't make you nervous? Human101948 Jun 2016 #2

she is up in the average by over 5 when third parties are included dsc Jun 2016 #4

Doesn't make me even dlightly nervous. MohRokTah Jun 2016 #5

Nope. I do not believe for a minute Johnson will get 10% of the vote and Stein will get 6%. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2016 #6

Latinos are hard to poll! Her Sister Jun 2016 #3

This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel Jun 2016 #7

Never try to convince a pundit his narrative is flawed when his livelihood rests on him believing... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2016 #8

TOO early for me to get too excited with any polling showing Hillary leading... LenaBaby61 Jun 2016 #9

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