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2016 Postmortem

DirkGently

(12,151 posts)

12. And Trump will never be the Republican nominee.

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sat Jul 2, 2016, 02:35 PM

Jul 2016

The one group of thinkers that has been completely wrong this election cycle are the "sure bet" folks. Literally nothing has happened the way they thought. Even Nate Silver got blown out repeatedly in the primaries.

The thing about elections is that anyone can win one. Nothing is ever in the bag.

And the fact that candidates once separated by miles draw closer together before a big vote is not an illusion. Sometimes the underdog catches up. Sometimes the pundits are wrong.

It's not "handwringing." It is a reflection of the reality that elections are uncertain, shifting things. Ask Britain.

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Warning: The Handwringers Will Be Out In Force Soon [View all] Doctor Jack Jul 2016 OP

What about the Lynch controversy??? zappaman Jul 2016 #1

I feel like they are already struggling to keep it in the news Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #2

Huh? itsrobert Jul 2016 #3

no MFM008 Jul 2016 #7

LOL. FSogol Jul 2016 #9

Oh yes, absolutely. BlueMTexpat Jul 2016 #10

Or cause a nation wide tin foil shortage. JoePhilly Jul 2016 #13

In 2008, I panicked with every high and low in the polls at first. merrily Jul 2016 #4

The one major trump card (no pun intended) that Clinton has is her ground game Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #5

And she is in EVERY state! nt MADem Jul 2016 #6

Such good points. Every election ends Hortensis Jul 2016 #8

Yep - she had 3 GOTV'ers JustAnotherGen Jul 2016 #27

And even if Trump starts to put a ground game together charlyvi Jul 2016 #11

And Trump will never be the Republican nominee. DirkGently Jul 2016 #12

You confuse some incorrect pundits with black is now white and up is now down Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #14

What's "the wrong path?" DirkGently Jul 2016 #15

I'm not arguing for a false dichotomy Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #16

Why do folks like you always assume that there is a duality to this? Arkana Jul 2016 #25

It's unlikely that Trump can benefit from this pattern. joshcryer Jul 2016 #17

I'll just go ahead and bump this for the polls we got today Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #18

I'm going to kick this one more time Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #19

And the pearl clutchers will run in waving another Rasmussen poll! yellowcanine Jul 2016 #20

They were the most accurate poll in 2012...apart from all the others Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #21

I have Nervous Hillary Supporter friends.... LenaBaby61 Jul 2016 #26

Relax and avoid stress. Just what the doctor ordered. oasis Jul 2016 #22

I was never worried that Romney would win. But I am terrified that Comey did incredible damage StevieM Jul 2016 #23

Wow! Two weeks ago! Thanks for the sane, smart perspective! Her Sister Jul 2016 #24