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Mon Jul 25, 2016, 11:41 AM

Poll Averages, people. It's the opposite of DEMOCRATIC PANIC!!! [View all]

I predicted there would be a "bounce" prior due to the RNC convention. I even expected Trump to take a lead of a few points. So far, he hasn't, which is unabashedly good news.


This may change, and I still expect a Trump lead before our bump takes effect. But as of right now things are looking OK. The best he can do, apparently, is to get close to Clinton. Her upside is still (always) higher.

I will be releasing my own election model in a week or so, once I get the data ingest built.

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