2016 Postmortem

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)

32. The polls are not accounting for the shift in likely voters or the demographic shifts.

Thu Oct 6, 2016, 01:05 PM

Oct 2016

And the trends they are ignoring, in part at least, are trends that benefit the Dems. Old people die, new voters enter the pool ...etc.

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The House Is Back in Play [View all] Coyotl Oct 2016 OP

Its the only way to defeat the Republican grip that is hell bent on destroying our US Constitution. misterhighwasted Oct 2016 #1

Win the House and State Legislatures to kill gerrymandering: Permanent Independent Commissions. nt Bernardo de La Paz Oct 2016 #7

This election really is the final battle. It is so critical. misterhighwasted Oct 2016 #8

Don't think it's quite the final battle, Mr. :) We'd have to live Hortensis Oct 2016 #25

Oh Lord could we stop the barbarians this year? workinclasszero Oct 2016 #19

HRC +5-6 and above 50 percent Dawson Leery Oct 2016 #2

OMG It would be delightful watching them lose all their dough. Go Hillary Go! lonestarnot Oct 2016 #3

KNR Lucinda Oct 2016 #4

Si Se Puede! Maru Kitteh Oct 2016 #5

Trump's scaring away the few remaining sane R's and wiping out the downballot. Snarkoleptic Oct 2016 #6

Trump/Pence are today's personification of Republican obstructionism and the Teahistas. Coyotl Oct 2016 #11

Wouldn't it be fantastic to have the House again? ailsagirl Oct 2016 #9

Consider how horribly things went after they took the House leading up to 2008. Coyotl Oct 2016 #12

What a disaster-- worse than we could have ever imagined ailsagirl Oct 2016 #13

Democrats had the House after the 2006 elections NewJeffCT Oct 2016 #38

We all KNOW what it's going to take..... Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2016 #10

^^^^this^^^^ mopinko Oct 2016 #17

HRC +2 in Ohio. mobeau69 Oct 2016 #14

As the ground game continues registering more people in Ohio. Good news. Coyotl Oct 2016 #15

Let's win the Presidency, let's win the Senate, let's win the House....then on to the Supreme Court! George II Oct 2016 #16

Undoing the Bush Junta is way past due, and we need the majority in Congress to do it. Coyotl Oct 2016 #18

You're not going back far enough........... socialist_n_TN Oct 2016 #20

Incredibly unlikely, but hope isn't a bad thing. whatthehey Oct 2016 #21

No longer very unlikely, that's the whole point of the story. It is happening with a month to go. Coyotl Oct 2016 #23

I don't think the average pop vote correlation is that strong though whatthehey Oct 2016 #28

You are right - this national average spread is VERY specious Cosmocat Oct 2016 #51

Would be incredible Johnny2X2X Oct 2016 #22

And he won't show MFM008 Oct 2016 #33

#3 has a FOX moderator Johnny2X2X Oct 2016 #34

Uhm, that seems awfully optimistic. progressoid Oct 2016 #24

Won't happen....there's no way davidn3600 Oct 2016 #26

Agreed Cosmocat Oct 2016 #52

2016 National House Race = Dems 46% versus Rep 37% Coyotl Oct 2016 #27

Yes !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Thanks for posting ColemanMaskell Oct 2016 #29

That would be great, but what about the Senate? ananda Oct 2016 #30

I have been BlueMTexpat Oct 2016 #31

The polls are not accounting for the shift in likely voters or the demographic shifts. Coyotl Oct 2016 #32

Yet another reason to GOTV NastyRiffraff Oct 2016 #35

Now that would bring about change! nt BainsBane Oct 2016 #36

The House isn't in play. SpankMe Oct 2016 #37

The House is always in play, with every member up for re-election. Coyotl Oct 2016 #39

False optimism leads to demoralization. former9thward Oct 2016 #40

False pessimisim leads to defeat. GOTV. Coyotl Oct 2016 #44

2016 House Election Interactive Map Coyotl Oct 2016 #41

Cook: 2016 House Race Ratings for October 4, 2016 Coyotl Oct 2016 #42

In Arizona we need to hold CD 1 and take CD 2 dbackjon Oct 2016 #43

I would be one happy fuckin' camper if that were to happen. Warren DeMontague Oct 2016 #45

Thanks Donald. Coyotl Oct 2016 #46

Now 16 of 54 GOP senators not supporting Trump. Republicans in a Catch 22, no win conundrum, if Coyotl Oct 2016 #47

House Democrats believe Trump troubles give them real shot at retaking majority Coyotl Oct 2016 #48

If she can get a double digit win over Trump, then I think the chances are good... cynatnite Oct 2016 #49

What a five-point shift could do = 455-83 Coyotl Oct 2016 #50

Trump may turn the House blue all by himself Gothmog Oct 2016 #53

Backlash from Trump supporters against GOP Reps? Il_Coniglietto Oct 2016 #54

This is happening. McCain is one of the people the Trump Tea party is lamblasting. Coyotl Oct 2016 #55

Clinton Shifts Message as She Eyes Congressional Takeover Coyotl Oct 2016 #56

Wouldn't that be sweet??? lillypaddle Oct 2016 #57

I'm not buying it. djg21 Oct 2016 #58

dKos House Race Ratings and House Rating Changes Coyotl Oct 2016 #59

Donald Trump took Republican bait and stupidly attacks only Ryan. Speaker Ryan's not running. Sunlei Oct 2016 #60