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2016 Postmortem

RBInMaine

(13,570 posts)

2. Mostly agree, but they do need to also keep attacking Trump as an "unfit" candidate. Every campaign

Reply to Ardoewaan (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 13, 2016, 06:06 AM

Oct 2016

needs both an affirmative message and a negative message. The narrative is that Trump, on every measure, is "unfit" for the job. Americans will not elect someone that they are not comfortable with in the Oval Office. They need to keep reminding everyone that Trump is an unqualified and unfit person and could not be imagined in the office of the presidency.

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How soon before Allan Lichtman changes his prediction? [View all] RBInMaine Oct 2016 OP

I think so too Ardoewaan Oct 2016 #1

Mostly agree, but they do need to also keep attacking Trump as an "unfit" candidate. Every campaign RBInMaine Oct 2016 #2

You're right Ardoewaan Oct 2016 #3

The candidate herself needs to do both the attack message and the positive message. RBInMaine Oct 2016 #8

i think johnson won't get 5%, and the model will have correctly predicted hillary. unblock Oct 2016 #4

He will not change his prediction Cicada Oct 2016 #5

Several of his categories are subjective and not empirical bluestateguy Oct 2016 #6

I'm very surprise that he says the Iran Nuclear Agreement doesn't count as a success bigdarryl Oct 2016 #10

But he left himself TWO outs: If Johnson gets below 5% or Trump being so unusual. The model might RBInMaine Oct 2016 #7

And will it discredit him if he is wrong? RBInMaine Oct 2016 #9

Not with me. A good model doesn't have to be perfect. Cicada Oct 2016 #11