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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Nate Silver moved Florida (and North Carolina) to Trump... [View all]CherokeeDem
(3,709 posts)22. One thing to remember about Florida absentee voting...
Anyone can request a ballot, no reason needed. Those voters who have not mailed them back yet, may find the time to early vote or vote on election day.
Well.. one can hope....
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Are you sure? Why is Nate so spooked then? It seems to me like FL will be blue too
AgadorSparticus
Nov 2016
#107
that's his model, not him. He programmed the model and those are the numbers
geek tragedy
Nov 2016
#3
that's the problem, they're not doing very well at GOTV in Florida, especially
geek tragedy
Nov 2016
#7
That's what I did last election. Ended up not trusting the process, so voted in person.
Native
Nov 2016
#61
Great, link to your history of past elections, would love to see your blog! N/t
ScienceIsGood
Nov 2016
#45
Nate Silver has a website competing for traffic in the waning days of the election.
BobbyDrake
Nov 2016
#9
He's not including data from the outlier polls with the crap methodology is he?
AgadorSparticus
Nov 2016
#108
iirc, Republicans usually *lead* in FL early voting, and not by a small margin
0rganism
Nov 2016
#81
yeah, just saw that FL is in the light red column for all three predictors
Farmgirl1961
Nov 2016
#47
I had heard that as well...but heard that it might be due to limited polling locations
Farmgirl1961
Nov 2016
#51
I want to ask a serious question with seemingly coming across as being overly "concerned" or a troll
Farmgirl1961
Nov 2016
#53
Just donated. How about a thread with links to Senate races we need to contribute to.
chimpymustgo
Nov 2016
#90
It has been said three days before the election people should ignore polling results
nolabels
Nov 2016
#73
It's moved from very pale blue to very pale pink. The 0 point isn't actually that significant.
Donald Ian Rankin
Nov 2016
#84