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2016 Postmortem

warpigs72

(31 posts)

8. Trend Lines

Reply to Dem2 (Original post)

Thu Nov 3, 2016, 08:14 PM

Nov 2016

That's because the trend lines are still +1.5% for Trump. So for NC, Hillary is +1.6% on average, which includes the bogus 7% Survey USA poll. This gets net down to even after the trend line adjustment. So that one bogus poll plays a large roll in this. Once the polls from the phony email scandal gets pushed back the trend lines will normalize and the results will be more in line with other poll aggregators.

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Highlight:

Ipsos State polls are out NH +6, NV +12, WI +9, CO +8, FL Tie, PA +3, VA +6, OH Tie, [View all] Dem2 Nov 2016 OP

Sweet! jcgoldie Nov 2016 #1

Not perfect, but I'll take it! Zynx Nov 2016 #2

Bring'er home now. forest444 Nov 2016 #3

excellent! so all are winnable (meaning FL & OH being tied) no matter what other polls might say Divine Discontent Nov 2016 #4

Ipsos state polls have a great variation in sample size historically triron Nov 2016 #6

Nevada is high but the rest look right. RandySF Nov 2016 #7

MI is more than +2. Barack_America Nov 2016 #11

Trend Lines warpigs72 Nov 2016 #8

Yes, today may end up being the 1st flat day in many days Dem2 Nov 2016 #10

it's weird... even with these awesome poll numbers I'm still so nervous renate Nov 2016 #9