Nate Silver in September gave GOP donors a closed-door presentation. [View all]
Hmmm . . . I wonder if this has anything to do with his predictions being consistently lower than the other aggregators?
The NYTimes lists the predictions of multiple aggregators, including Silver, who gives Hillary a 65% chance of winning the nomination; the NYTimes, the next lowest prediction at 85%; and Professor Sam Wang of Princeton who, based on state polls, gives Hillary a 99% chance of winning. These multiple results and others are listed about halfway down the page on the first link, below.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/295469-nate-silver-gives-gop-donors-a-closed-door-presentation
Nate Silver, the ESPN journalist behind the FiveThirtyEight website, gave a presentation on the 2016 battleground map to a group of powerful Republican donors in Manhattan last week.
Silver was paid to give the presentation by the American Opportunity Alliance, a group led by some of the biggest GOP donors in the country, including hedge fund billionaire Paul Singer and the Ricketts family, which owns the Chicago Cubs.
Silvers closed-door session was part of a two-day confab, held Sept. 78 at Le Bernardin Prive, a private dining room inside a New York City restaurant run by celebrity chef Eric Ripert.
Upward of three dozen top donors attended the gathering, along with senior Republican Party officials and strategists. Silvers presentation on Wednesday afternoon was a highlight of the two-day event, people at the event said.
SNIP