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grantcart

(53,061 posts)
10. Absolute nonsense
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 10:34 PM
Nov 2016

You are only quoting the polls in the swing states

California +22
New York + 20
Mass + 22
Washington, Maine, Conn, Deleware, IL Hawaii, MD, VT all around +15

On the Republican side you have a lot of low populations states that have wide margins but their large states are very narrow margins

Texas -9
AZ - 5

and a whole bunch of Atlantic states that have been red but are now tied or blue
Virginia
North Carolina
Florida
Georgia

Its not really a point of contention. Silver explicitly states that he is moving the state polls by 3 points so that they mesh with the national numbers. He has a term for it, he calls it "trend line adjustment".

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