2016 Postmortem

blm

(114,065 posts)

6. GOP doesn't worry that Dems get most votes - extreme gerrymandering protects them and

Sun Jun 2, 2013, 10:57 AM

Jun 2013

they will stay in complete control of Congress and state governments until the districts are drawn with integrity by nonpartisan panels.

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The Republicans Are in Big Trouble: Mid-term elections prediction for 2014 [View all] Major Hogwash Jun 2013 OP

The problem the Democrats have in 2014, aside from improving turnout over 2010, House of Roberts Jun 2013 #1

But no one has to prove that counterfactual because the GOP has not passed anything they Bluenorthwest Jun 2013 #22

Democrats CANNOT be complacent about 2014 elections Rosa Luxemburg Jun 2013 #40

I don't know much about crunching numbers, LuvNewcastle Jun 2013 #2

Expecting R losses in Kentucky, and So Carolina, and Nebraske HooptieWagon Jun 2013 #3

Collins will be primaried, exactly for the reason the Tea Party faction hates her, she claims to be Major Hogwash Jun 2013 #23

The Teabaggers in NE are no different than the Teabaggers here in KS and the ones here are ... LonePirate Jun 2013 #29

Susan Collins is very popular naturallyselected Jun 2013 #33

it`s going to take a lot of work. madrchsod Jun 2013 #4

We Must Hold Together And Turn Out To the Polls, Major The Magistrate Jun 2013 #5

Yes indeed, GOTV emulatorloo Jun 2013 #7

GOTV 2014 for electable Democrats Hekate Jun 2013 #24

Agreed...the three keys to the 2014 election are: ewagner Jun 2013 #13

GOP doesn't worry that Dems get most votes - extreme gerrymandering protects them and blm Jun 2013 #6

Gerrymandering will make taking the house back in a midterm all but impossible. yourout Jun 2013 #10

exactly - when people post polls showing Dems winning big in 2014 it's really a big waste blm Jun 2013 #45

Just about everyone I know -- and that's lots of conservatives -- is sick of GOP lies Berlum Jun 2013 #8

It shouldn't be a surprise that there are some intelligent rational R's. L0oniX Jun 2013 #16

When? When are these chickens coming? I don't see it. yeoman6987 Oct 2015 #59

Sorry to drop a turd in the punchbowl olivelove Jun 2013 #9

Yes, sulphurdunn Jun 2013 #11

Agree n/t ewagner Jun 2013 #14

flush Hekate Jun 2013 #26

Yeah, we already had this "dream situation" in 2008 DireStrike Jun 2013 #27

Don't count the votes before they are cast. . . DinahMoeHum Jun 2013 #12

I'll tom_kelly Jun 2013 #17

Agreed customerserviceguy Jun 2013 #31

if repugs lose America WINS samsingh Jun 2013 #15

With so many dino infiltrators in place they won't really lose. L0oniX Jun 2013 #18

I'd be happy enough just to see Batshit and Turtle (I shit my pants) gone. L0oniX Jun 2013 #19

I totally disagree. illegaloperation Jun 2013 #20

This is certainly something to work for, but I must emphasis that unless we rhett o rick Jun 2013 #21

If the GOP were the genius politicians the corporate media makes them out to be fasttense Jun 2013 #25

Showcase corporate media is Iliyah Jun 2013 #28

BFD> if NP is in charge it'll be about "keeping our powder dry", AGAIN elehhhhna Jun 2013 #30

It will ultimately come down to turnout Proud Liberal Dem Jun 2013 #32

Spot on NHDEMFORLIFE Jun 2013 #35

Only if the turnout is near presidential election numbers. muntrv Jun 2013 #34

Is this published somewhere? tiffany_willis Jun 2013 #36

It's in my journal. Major Hogwash Jun 2013 #41

A very nice summary, Hogwash! sofa king Jun 2013 #37

Well, your analysis is much more in-depth than mine, and I agree with most of what you said Major Hogwash Jun 2013 #42

It's possible they'll get it anyway. sofa king Jun 2013 #57

the trick is not just getting the Senate, but doing big enough things once gotten to make voters yurbud Jun 2013 #38

Wish I shared your optimism. Fact is with gerrymandering and the religous ferver ... Scuba Jun 2013 #39

Yeah, right! blkmusclmachine Jun 2013 #43

No offense, but I think I'll wait for Mr. Silver to confirm any predictions :) NCLefty Jun 2013 #44

Nate has a recent Senate prediction. totodeinhere Jun 2013 #47

Nate Silver does not agree with your Senate predictions. totodeinhere Jun 2013 #46

Those numbers are old. Major Hogwash Jun 2013 #48

2014 Problem ArizonaLib Jun 2013 #49

As a partisan Democrat I hope you are right. However I am skeptical and I'm bookmarking totodeinhere Jun 2013 #50

The writer mistakingly belleives that people know or care about which legislation was/wasn't passed bowens43 Jun 2013 #51

dramatic gains for the president's party in his 6th year are rare. unblock Jun 2013 #52

Nate Silver has already done an article on the 2014 Senate Race. He predicts we will keep the okaawhatever Jun 2013 #53

Some additional links Tx4obama Jun 2013 #54

The Senate will be 54-46 with the two independents davidpdx Jun 2013 #55

I predict that... Larry Ogg Jun 2013 #56

KnR sheshe2 Oct 2014 #58