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Major Hogwash

(17,656 posts)
23. Collins will be primaried, exactly for the reason the Tea Party faction hates her, she claims to be
Sun Jun 2, 2013, 12:02 PM
Jun 2013

. . a moderate.
In order for her to win her primary, she will have to run way to the right.
And if she does that, just in order to win her primary, she will be toast in the General election in the fall.
People may have short memories, but these days, they also have the internet.
And the internet changed the way politicians have to run for office now.
The YouTube channels help catch otherwise careful politicians saying dumb things all of the time.

There are more registered Democrats living in Kentucky than there are registered Republicans in that state.
Not only that, but Mitch McConnell was only 4 points ahead of Ashley Judd in polls taken just 2 months ago . . . and Ashley hadn't even announced that she was running for the Senate.
Plus the fact that Mitch only has a 33% favorable rating in his own state!!

You can't be the Minority Leader of the party in the Senate and expect to be re-elected just for saying "we don't want to discuss that" every single time an issue is brought to the Senate floor.
And yet, that is what all of those filibusters are all about.
So, McConnell is not secure in his re-election bid, at all.

As for South Carolina, they are the only state where both Senators are up for re-election next year.
Frankly, I'd like to see Lindsay Graham go down in flames.
But, I think there is a better chance that the new Senator, the one that just got there, will be thrown out of office.
He's a poser.

Chuck Hagel is from Nebraska.
I don't know why people from Nebraska wouldn't see that as a good thing for their state, since he is willing to work with President Obama as the Secretary of Defense.
Nebraska is not in the South, so they don't operate the same way there as the Tea Party faction members do in other states.

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The problem the Democrats have in 2014, aside from improving turnout over 2010, House of Roberts Jun 2013 #1
But no one has to prove that counterfactual because the GOP has not passed anything they Bluenorthwest Jun 2013 #22
Democrats CANNOT be complacent about 2014 elections Rosa Luxemburg Jun 2013 #40
I don't know much about crunching numbers, LuvNewcastle Jun 2013 #2
Expecting R losses in Kentucky, and So Carolina, and Nebraske HooptieWagon Jun 2013 #3
Collins will be primaried, exactly for the reason the Tea Party faction hates her, she claims to be Major Hogwash Jun 2013 #23
The Teabaggers in NE are no different than the Teabaggers here in KS and the ones here are ... LonePirate Jun 2013 #29
Susan Collins is very popular naturallyselected Jun 2013 #33
it`s going to take a lot of work. madrchsod Jun 2013 #4
We Must Hold Together And Turn Out To the Polls, Major The Magistrate Jun 2013 #5
Yes indeed, GOTV emulatorloo Jun 2013 #7
GOTV 2014 for electable Democrats Hekate Jun 2013 #24
Agreed...the three keys to the 2014 election are: ewagner Jun 2013 #13
GOP doesn't worry that Dems get most votes - extreme gerrymandering protects them and blm Jun 2013 #6
Gerrymandering will make taking the house back in a midterm all but impossible. yourout Jun 2013 #10
exactly - when people post polls showing Dems winning big in 2014 it's really a big waste blm Jun 2013 #45
Just about everyone I know -- and that's lots of conservatives -- is sick of GOP lies Berlum Jun 2013 #8
It shouldn't be a surprise that there are some intelligent rational R's. L0oniX Jun 2013 #16
When? When are these chickens coming? I don't see it. yeoman6987 Oct 2015 #59
Sorry to drop a turd in the punchbowl olivelove Jun 2013 #9
Yes, sulphurdunn Jun 2013 #11
Agree n/t ewagner Jun 2013 #14
flush Hekate Jun 2013 #26
Yeah, we already had this "dream situation" in 2008 DireStrike Jun 2013 #27
Don't count the votes before they are cast. . . DinahMoeHum Jun 2013 #12
I'll tom_kelly Jun 2013 #17
Agreed customerserviceguy Jun 2013 #31
if repugs lose America WINS samsingh Jun 2013 #15
With so many dino infiltrators in place they won't really lose. L0oniX Jun 2013 #18
I'd be happy enough just to see Batshit and Turtle (I shit my pants) gone. L0oniX Jun 2013 #19
I totally disagree. illegaloperation Jun 2013 #20
This is certainly something to work for, but I must emphasis that unless we rhett o rick Jun 2013 #21
If the GOP were the genius politicians the corporate media makes them out to be fasttense Jun 2013 #25
Showcase corporate media is Iliyah Jun 2013 #28
BFD> if NP is in charge it'll be about "keeping our powder dry", AGAIN elehhhhna Jun 2013 #30
It will ultimately come down to turnout Proud Liberal Dem Jun 2013 #32
Spot on NHDEMFORLIFE Jun 2013 #35
Only if the turnout is near presidential election numbers. muntrv Jun 2013 #34
Is this published somewhere? tiffany_willis Jun 2013 #36
It's in my journal. Major Hogwash Jun 2013 #41
A very nice summary, Hogwash! sofa king Jun 2013 #37
Well, your analysis is much more in-depth than mine, and I agree with most of what you said Major Hogwash Jun 2013 #42
It's possible they'll get it anyway. sofa king Jun 2013 #57
the trick is not just getting the Senate, but doing big enough things once gotten to make voters yurbud Jun 2013 #38
Wish I shared your optimism. Fact is with gerrymandering and the religous ferver ... Scuba Jun 2013 #39
Yeah, right! blkmusclmachine Jun 2013 #43
No offense, but I think I'll wait for Mr. Silver to confirm any predictions :) NCLefty Jun 2013 #44
Nate has a recent Senate prediction. totodeinhere Jun 2013 #47
Nate Silver does not agree with your Senate predictions. totodeinhere Jun 2013 #46
Those numbers are old. Major Hogwash Jun 2013 #48
2014 Problem ArizonaLib Jun 2013 #49
As a partisan Democrat I hope you are right. However I am skeptical and I'm bookmarking totodeinhere Jun 2013 #50
The writer mistakingly belleives that people know or care about which legislation was/wasn't passed bowens43 Jun 2013 #51
dramatic gains for the president's party in his 6th year are rare. unblock Jun 2013 #52
Nate Silver has already done an article on the 2014 Senate Race. He predicts we will keep the okaawhatever Jun 2013 #53
Some additional links Tx4obama Jun 2013 #54
The Senate will be 54-46 with the two independents davidpdx Jun 2013 #55
I predict that... Larry Ogg Jun 2013 #56
KnR sheshe2 Oct 2014 #58
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