2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: The Republicans Are in Big Trouble: Mid-term elections prediction for 2014 [View all]Major Hogwash
(17,656 posts)While Nate likes to think that he is the only one who can make predictions, I will predict today that Nate will change his predictions before next year.
He will come more in line with my predictions later on.
The reason I waited for 6 months before I made my predictions, is because 6 months is a reasonable length of time to more accurately gauge what the Republican response to President Obama's huge win in 2012 would be.
Nate didn't even wait 2 months before he made his predictions.
And since time is on my side, knowing what I know now, I stand by my predictions.
My predictions are based on more data, after much more time had passed.
Even though there is quite a bit of time before the mid-term elections, the Republican strategy is very apparent now -- do nothing, and blame Harry Reid.
That won't work.
So, unless the Republicans change course and do something different, like appeal to someone other than rich, white men -- which up to this date in time, they are unwilling to do -- then these predictions will still hold true in 16 months.
16 months is not a lot of time, and I don't think there will be any big change coming from the Republican party this year.
So, after another 16 months of gridlock and malaise from the Boehnor House, ceterius parabus, I don't think Boehnor will still have control of the House in 2015.
Boehnor said he was going to create jobs in 2010 when he became the Speaker, yet here it is 3 years later, and he still hasn't passed a Jobs Bill.
That's going to look even worse in 16 months.
People don't get rewarded for doing nothing.
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