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DallasNE

(7,392 posts)
18. When A Candidate Becomes The "Presumptive Nominee"
Sat Apr 21, 2012, 01:23 AM
Apr 2012

Doesn't that candidate always get a bounce because people unite behind that candidate?

Your points are well taken too because both candidates will get a post-convention bounce. About the 2nd set of polls after Labor Day is about where I would start paying close attention. (The 1st set will be the benchmark).

Good warning. Thanks! freshwest Apr 2012 #1
Your welcome, freshwest. MarianJack Apr 2012 #2
Yes, I can. Jackpine Radical Apr 2012 #3
you know, Jackpine Radical,... MarianJack Apr 2012 #6
K&R gateley Apr 2012 #4
Thanks, gately. MarianJack Apr 2012 #7
No -- it's my last name. Never knew there was a character in the movie with that name! Probably gateley Apr 2012 #10
The character was played by Hugh Marlow (spelling?) and... MarianJack Apr 2012 #12
Interesting -- thanks!! nt gateley Apr 2012 #14
You're welcome. MarianJack Apr 2012 #16
Hugh Marlowe played the rôle of Lt. Col. Ben Gately Tx4obama Apr 2012 #19
Thanks! It's a name you rarely hear so it's extra surprising to know it was a character gateley Apr 2012 #45
k/r Dawson Leery Apr 2012 #5
Thanks, Dawson Leery. MarianJack Apr 2012 #8
54%-44%. Dawson Leery Apr 2012 #9
Actually, pretty darn good! MarianJack Apr 2012 #11
More succinctly: National polls are always meaningless in our EV system. PSPS Apr 2012 #13
This is true. MarianJack Apr 2012 #15
They're only meaningless when it's a very close election Hippo_Tron Apr 2012 #48
The problem is that the Republicans have so many different vote stealing and vote tblue37 Apr 2012 #17
Election stealing is a BIG concern. MarianJack Apr 2012 #22
When A Candidate Becomes The "Presumptive Nominee" DallasNE Apr 2012 #18
That's usually a pretty good timetable. MarianJack Apr 2012 #21
Some information about polls pollsters don't tell you. caseymoz Apr 2012 #20
And the wildly wrong... MarianJack Apr 2012 #23
That's explained by the "scientific procedure" part. nt caseymoz Apr 2012 #24
The sky is falling Flying Squirrel Apr 2012 #25
Fortunately, the sky falling... MarianJack Apr 2012 #30
K&R great white snark Apr 2012 #26
Thank you, great white snark. MarianJack Apr 2012 #31
While it might make us feel better between now and then Cosmocat Apr 2012 #27
Your point, Cosmocat,... MarianJack Apr 2012 #32
Fair enough Cosmocat Apr 2012 #35
The house is certainly in play. Dawson Leery Apr 2012 #38
Many people aren't even paying a lick of attention yet. They are called in a poll glowing Apr 2012 #28
bain romney... MarianJack Apr 2012 #33
Well done Sir. bemildred Apr 2012 #29
Always... MarianJack Apr 2012 #34
No matter if you're ahead 20 points in the polls, you must campaign like you're 20 points behind. amb123 Apr 2012 #36
True, amb123. MarianJack Apr 2012 #37
Adding a K&R Grateful for Hope Apr 2012 #39
Thanks, grateful for Hope. MarianJack Apr 2012 #41
Allow me to retort (just a little) Taverner Apr 2012 #40
Yes, choreographed conventions reflect that... MarianJack Apr 2012 #42
PEACE INDEED!!!! Taverner Apr 2012 #43
My father,... MarianJack Apr 2012 #46
No panic here at all. Not only is it way too early... Liberal_Stalwart71 Apr 2012 #44
No panic from me, either, but... MarianJack Apr 2012 #47
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