2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Before the "poll panic" sets in, might we have a word? [View all]Cosmocat
(14,564 posts)BO was NEVER going to run away with this election.
IMO, given the way the republicans have effectively carved up the country, and the "liberal media" he probably maxed out his margin in 2008. I think if the economy remains in at least its slow recovery and there are not major security issues, he will win by that margin or a little less.
But, people got fooled by the republican primary into think the media would call things based in REALITY.
Now that Romney has pretty much wrapped it up, the game resets to normal standards where the R gets to say and do whatever ridiculous thing he or she wants and it is excused or not even covered, and the D has to spend two months explaining how he does not hate the country because he does not wear a flagpin.
It is going to be close, and the real battle here is to cut the margin the house a bit and SOMEHOW keep the senate.