2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: The Establishment Rejects the People's Candidate. Confirming the Main Reason Why Sanders is Surging! [View all]sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)who don't just poll older dems, and mostly those with landlines, but poll his real base, Indies and people across the political spectrum, he's beating her in every state.
You can't win with just the base, which has shrunk by 10% since 2008, now at only 32% of registered voters. I eg, am taking a formerly non voter to register as a Dem in Ny this week because she now wants to vote for Bernie. This is going to happen all over the country. These voters are not reflected in these polls. Open primary states eg, can't be polled on Bernie's support.
The only way to get an accurate view of his support is in online polls. And in pretty much all of those, he is way ahead of all of them.
Iow Bernie has taken approx 25% of the Dem base, leaving Hillary with the rest of that 32%. She has very little crossover appeal, Repubs won't vote for her, Indies are for Bernie, so how can you win with only the that small number of voters?