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2016 Postmortem

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)

26. I believe that most of the polling simply looks at the raw numbers

Reply to pink-o (Original post)

Sun Aug 12, 2012, 02:01 AM

Aug 2012

of who prefers which candidate, as if the president were elected by popular vote (keeping in mind, of coursed, that no one bothers to count the unpopular votes).

While it will never be a good idea to think the election is in the bag, I honestly think in the end it won't even be close in the popular vote.

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538.com predicts 301 vs 236 Electoral for Obama. So why MSM polls keep telling us so close? [View all] pink-o Aug 2012 OP

Thanks for the link. I usually don't check out Nate's predictions until much closer to GreenPartyVoter Aug 2012 #1

I think it is the money hollysmom Aug 2012 #2

Yup. Too many. pink-o Aug 2012 #3

Good question! cheezmaka Aug 2012 #13

if you read his articles he exlains why grantcart Aug 2012 #4

The REAL story is elleng Aug 2012 #5

Because some states will be close and that could dramatically impact those #'s themaguffin Aug 2012 #6

to give credibility to theft 2pooped2pop Aug 2012 #7

That is x-actly what I'm sayin'. N/T pink-o Aug 2012 #9

That's one possibility. I think they're just trying to keep themselves relevant. Jester Messiah Sep 2012 #31

the PRESS wants a close election thecentristword Aug 2012 #8

because they want to steal the election Rosa Luxemburg Aug 2012 #10

It is all about money...it's the ratings!!! riverbendviewgal Aug 2012 #11

I think Romney has made his path to the White House clear.. crimson77 Aug 2012 #12

Which is an insanely hard path davidpdx Aug 2012 #14

There are only 535 total electors. spooky3 Aug 2012 #20

My bad, crimson77 Aug 2012 #23

Well he's just said fuck you to Florida Ebadlun Aug 2012 #22

They use national numbers to obscure our Electoral advantage Motown_Johnny Aug 2012 #15

I think the polls are spurious-- even those that have Obama ahead ailsagirl Aug 2012 #16

If the race isn't close, you don't need 100s of TV pundits 24/7 ... JoePhilly Aug 2012 #17

Drinking Game! dsteve01 Aug 2012 #18

Actually four recent polls have it 7-10 points in favor of Obama and it was Nate who was... WI_DEM Aug 2012 #19

Because most people don't really get the Electoral College mythology Aug 2012 #21

When Romney/Ryan Proud Liberal Dem Aug 2012 #24

Because if we think the election is going to be close, we will follow the daily coverage Doctor Jack Aug 2012 #25

I believe that most of the polling simply looks at the raw numbers SheilaT Aug 2012 #26

Even Nate is saying... regnaD kciN Aug 2012 #27

RATINGZZZ Comrade Funk Aug 2012 #28

Voter Suppression is why! UCmeNdc Aug 2012 #29

It's both ratings and voter suppression... pink-o Aug 2012 #30