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Response to nc4bo (Reply #7)

Thu Nov 12, 2015, 03:49 PM

11. Post-debate was the timeframe when pollsters stopped asking about Biden

and also when they switched over to polling "likely" voters... i.e., people who'd actually voted in previous primaries. HRC doing better among the die-hards who turn out every election. Bernie's bringing in a larger share of younger voters and disenfranchised voters returning to the party--and they're not "likely" primary voters. I don't think we'll really have a good feel on where things stand until Iowa and NH.

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