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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: 68% of Democrats find Clinton trustworthy, only 35% of Independents and 4% of Republicans. By gender [View all]Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)6. Clinton has not received rougher treatment than Obama or Kerry or Gore or her husband, but it has
cost Hillary more in terms of trustworthiness than it affected Obama or Kerry or Gore or her husband.
Clinton has no crossover appeal.
Clinton has no significant appeal to independents.
I will vote for her if Sanders does not get the nomination, but her appeal is not even enthusiastic among Democrats:
Theres cause for concern in Hillaryland, the constellation of Democratic advisers, supporters and politicians counting on the former secretary of state to lead the party to a sweeping victory next November.... The worries of some Clinton insiders are focused on the general election. There is an enthusiasm gap. Surveys of voters at this early stage of the campaign show that young people, independents, possibly even blacks and Hispanics are not excited about her candidacy.... Mrs. Clinton has a striking problem with young voters. A recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll showed that a solid plurality of young voters has a negative view of Mrs. Clinton. She did even worse in a Bloomberg Politics national poll.
Here is a result to unnerve her Brooklyn campaign headquarters: Both Barack Obama and Bill Clinton get a 60 percent favorable rating with 18-to-29-year-olds. She gets 35 percent approval and 57 percent unfavorable.
In the last presidential election, 19 percent of the voters were in that age cohort, which Mr. Obama won, 60 percent to 37 percent, providing his overall margin. There was a substantial decline in the number of young voters in the off-year elections, probably costing Democrats a couple Senate seats; a similar drop-off in 2016 might be decisive in a close election.
Mrs. Clinton also has big problems with independent voters. In the nomination contest, shes running well ahead of her chief challenger, Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont. But she loses to him among Democratic-leaning independents. Over all, independents are negative about her by a margin of better than 3-to-2.
In 2012, almost three in 10 voters were independents, and Mr. Obama came close to splitting that vote with Mitt Romney, the Republican candidate.
...
Interviews with voters and focus groups suggest that Mrs. Clinton has a likability problem; more than a few young voters, particularly, as well as some independents, say that they are turned off by her persona and that she seems old hat. In a famous exchange in a 2008 debate, Mr. Obama cracked, youre likable enough, Hillary.
Another liability is that, as of now, many voters, according to polls and focus groups, do not find her trustworthy. The publics negative view was reinforced by her clumsy handling of the controversy over her private email server as secretary of state.
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68% of Democrats find Clinton trustworthy, only 35% of Independents and 4% of Republicans. By gender [View all]
Attorney in Texas
Dec 2015
OP
I hate the idea that we might nominate the least trusted candidate in either party and thereby help
Attorney in Texas
Dec 2015
#14
That's generally how it works. Generally the voters have a say in selecting most of those delegates
Attorney in Texas
Dec 2015
#22
Do you actually believe the current Republican party will work with any Democratic President?
LonePirate
Dec 2015
#21
Clinton has not received rougher treatment than Obama or Kerry or Gore or her husband, but it has
Attorney in Texas
Dec 2015
#6
Brand Spanking New Ipsos Reuters Likely Democratic Voter Poll-HRC 77% SBS 17% MOM 3%
saturnsring
Dec 2015
#7
Are you intentionally misleading or are you unable to understand what you are posting?
Attorney in Texas
Dec 2015
#11
You know you are interpreting Retuers poll differently that Reuters interprets the same poll, right?
Attorney in Texas
Dec 2015
#13