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mikekohr

(2,312 posts)
20. In Presidential Elections They Turn Out, and are key to Democratic victory
Tue Dec 1, 2015, 09:45 PM
Dec 2015

Following is a post I wrote after the 2014 election and posted on the Face Book page of Bureau County Democrats:

There is a lot of soul searching right now about how we fell short on Tuesday. The chart below lays out in clear detail what happened not only this year but in 2010 as well. Progressive ballot initiatives passed everywhere by overwhelming majorities which show, even considering the demographic metrics of this last election day, the American People are with us on individual issues.
Where we fell short is on turnout among our younger voters who are overwhelming more diverse. The Millennial Generation are a historical aberration in that they are breaking in unprecedented numbers away from previous generations in voting patterns and skewing heavily Democratic.
Steve Bennen writes, "The age gap between younger voters and seniors was huge in 2010 and had a lot to do with the Republican wave election. As NBC News’ exit polls found , this was even more pronounced yesterday."
The overall Republican demographic shrinks by approx. 2% every 4 years. However the "over 60" demographic which is heavily Republican, has increased their total participation rate in off year elections since 2008 from 29% to 35% while the under 30 generation remains static in such years at 12-13%.
Father Time will eventually erase this trend permanently but we would be better served to reach out, inspire and engage these voters now. Elections are after all about the future and no voter group has a longer future or more to lose than the Millennial Generation.

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http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/dems-struggle-older-voters-dominate

New voters are not being polled in most polls. This bodes well for Bernie. AtomicKitten Dec 2015 #1
What percentage rate do they vote? Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #2
Sort of depends on who your nominee is. Kerry, low turn out. Obama, high turn out. Polling indicates Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #4
The youth vote made a difference in 2008 and 2014. merrily Dec 2015 #30
How did the youth turnout for the primaries? That's what we're talking about. George II Dec 2015 #32
We'll see in a couple of months. merrily Dec 2015 #35
I was talking about the primaries in 2008 (none in 2012 nor a Presidential election in 2014) George II Dec 2015 #36
Yes, I understood that. In a couple of months, we'll see how the youth vote turns out for this merrily Dec 2015 #37
In Presidential Elections They Turn Out, and are key to Democratic victory mikekohr Dec 2015 #20
Two problems. hay rick Dec 2015 #22
This is a big problem, it is their future more than the 70 year old, more important for them to Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #24
Absolutely. hay rick Dec 2015 #25
They do vote. merrily Dec 2015 #29
I believe the 18-29 age demographic has among the worst turnouts over the years. George II Dec 2015 #31
57% to 29% is still a pretty good spanking. nt Cali_Democrat Dec 2015 #3
Not in a national poll. It would be a bad number in an Iowa or New Hampshire poll. Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #7
Except there are 48 states other than Iowa and New Hampshire Cali_Democrat Dec 2015 #10
You understand that those 48 states votes much later on the calendar, right? In fact, the nomination Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #12
I'm familiar with the calendar Cali_Democrat Dec 2015 #14
Now all we have to do is get them to the primaries Kalidurga Dec 2015 #5
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #6
As part of a trend, yes. If this poll was out of the mainstream for prior national polls, it would Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #9
We've been saying the primaries run state by state all along. We're feeling alright. Ed Suspicious Dec 2015 #11
Huge margin for Clinton. Nt NCTraveler Dec 2015 #8
That 57% to 29% is with Dems only...If you include independents it is 45% to 30% Cheese Sandwich Dec 2015 #13
Hey look! retrowire Dec 2015 #15
I am shocked UglyGreed Dec 2015 #16
There appears to be an even newer Reuters poll within this one. PotatoChip Dec 2015 #17
too bad people over 34 get to vote captainarizona Dec 2015 #18
Nationwide Polling is meaningless right now. Only about 10% of the electorate is paying attention. Quixote1818 Dec 2015 #19
Given the electoral college, nationwide is not very precise. merrily Dec 2015 #27
Also looks like he's winning the Very Conservative too... kjones Dec 2015 #21
But can we get them to register AND vote? Ferd Berfel Dec 2015 #23
Where have "we" been trying to get them registered? merrily Dec 2015 #26
In My Bernie Group Ferd Berfel Dec 2015 #33
Great! Because if they are registered and understand the importance of the primary, they will vote. merrily Dec 2015 #34
True. In Illinois we have some time Ferd Berfel Dec 2015 #38
That's exactly what we all need to be doing Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #39
HUGE K & R !!! - Thank You !!! WillyT Dec 2015 #28
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