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2016 Postmortem

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

8. Sure, I can answer both questions

Reply to GusBob (Reply #6)

Fri Dec 11, 2015, 12:35 AM

Dec 2015

1) Assuming how asking me about what the MOE days and his it works in polling, I'm going to refer you to a primer I wrote earlier this year:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251567623

If, instead, you're actually asking how to mathematically calculate one, let me know, and I'll put together a post to explain it.

2) Nuke it from orbit. Only way to be sure.

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Highlight:

A reminder, if a poll shows a candidate being +2 or -1 since last month, it means nothing's changed [View all] Godhumor Dec 2015 OP

+1 ... 1StrongBlackMan Dec 2015 #1

Your +1 is within the OP margin of error Godhumor Dec 2015 #3

Here's another +1. SURGE! JaneyVee Dec 2015 #7

Everything, including this OP allows encouragement. morningfog Dec 2015 #5

Margin of error, right. Manifestor_of_Light Dec 2015 #2

Right, but they're not talking month over month Godhumor Dec 2015 #4

I really appreciate your input this election, thanks GusBob Dec 2015 #6

Sure, I can answer both questions Godhumor Dec 2015 #8

I see it in the primer thanks GusBob Dec 2015 #9

I love your OP's ismnotwasm Dec 2015 #10

Gracias Godhumor Dec 2015 #11

As the number of "undecided" voters shrinks ... NurseJackie Dec 2015 #12

This OP is mathematically false. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #13

Hmm. No I don't think I will be deleting, but I will edit Godhumor Dec 2015 #14

That's accurate. Thank you for the update. JonLeibowitz Dec 2015 #15

No worries. Truthfully, I didn't want to get into the grey area n/t Godhumor Dec 2015 #18

Here is what you are looking for: redgreenandblue Dec 2015 #16

Yes, aggregations are a different beast Godhumor Dec 2015 #17