2016 Postmortem

bluestateguy

(44,173 posts)

7. Ronald H. Coase — "If you torture the data long enough, it will confess."

Reply to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Mon Dec 14, 2015, 01:41 PM

Dec 2015

Cough, cough, ahem..

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The Sanders campaign is EXACTLY where it should be at this moment in Iowa [View all] Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 OP

But the topline number went down!! So it's over!! jeff47 Dec 2015 #1

I'm on your side so don't take this the wrong way tularetom Dec 2015 #2

No, you're not. The OP has the Pollster regression doing something it can't do well Godhumor Dec 2015 #3

The top graph is very slightly different. The other two graphs come out exactly the same regardless Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #4

Um. No... SidDithers Dec 2015 #5

That's correct. Clinton is now polling at the same level as her pre-Bengazi hearing poll in Iowa. Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #8

Hey at least they are making progress. They're using real polls instead of online polls. stevenleser Dec 2015 #10

Yeppers... SidDithers Dec 2015 #12

Looks like you had some trouble with the chart controls.. DCBob Dec 2015 #6

That is not a chart of the Des Moines Register polling, which is the topic, but thanks for playing! Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #9

That poster never claimed it was. But it is a reflection of whats really going on in Iowa. stevenleser Dec 2015 #11

Its clear you are the one playing games.. not me. DCBob Dec 2015 #14

Ronald H. Coase — "If you torture the data long enough, it will confess." bluestateguy Dec 2015 #7

LOL workinclasszero Dec 2015 #21

It's obvious that that there are not enough points for a good predictive analysis. CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #13

I mention this in another post... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #17

Rallies are not indictive of voter support - they indictive of voter passion. CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #18

That's absolutely untrue when it comes to political rallies in Iowa CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #27

From what I have seen of the Sanders rally's - including those in Iowa... CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #31

You obviously don't understand the dynamics of Iowa politics... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #32

Kickin' for Bernie! in_cog_ni_to Dec 2015 #15

My husband and I saw this Iowa poll and we hugged. GREAT news for Bernie! CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #16

Let's talk about how excited you are March 2nd CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #19

Yes, Bernie will march on, collecting delegates faster than Clinton loses her superdelegates who theislander Dec 2015 #34

Ah yes, the DU Cold-Water Brigade! CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #35

Humm.... Reality equals cold water splashed in the faces of Sander's supporters CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #40

I'm so glad that you are doing the important work up in Iowa. Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #33

There are a couple of things about the Iowa caucuses that I'm wondering about Art_from_Ark Dec 2015 #38

Iowa has multi-level caucuses. CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #41

In second place and fading fast? workinclasszero Dec 2015 #20

Sanders started out at .8 percent in Iowa! CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #36

kick! n/t in_cog_ni_to Dec 2015 #22

Ons statistic SCREAMED at me. bvar22 Dec 2015 #23

amen! ibegurpard Dec 2015 #25

I hope you are right. Juicy_Bellows Dec 2015 #26

Sanders already has "real traction" bvar22 Dec 2015 #29

Yes and perhaps my real traction comment was ill-advised. Juicy_Bellows Dec 2015 #30

That momentum (if it ever builds) will hit a brick wall in Nevata & South Carolina CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #42

No it's not ibegurpard Dec 2015 #24

Campaigning against the media? lol. nt. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #28

Save the energy. It's over .. Hillary is winning cosmicone Dec 2015 #37

Hillary is winning just like Dean 2004, Gingrich 2012, Giuliani 2008, and Clinton 2008 were winning Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #39

The chickens are already hatching... CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #43

Here in my country, we allow the voters to have a say. Who selects the queen in your country? Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #44

Yup, exactly where it should be... SidDithers Dec 2015 #45

Yep. Down 32, just where he needs to be. Persondem Dec 2015 #46

Either the Des Moines Register polling is right or the Loras polling is right. The Des Moines Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #47