2016 Postmortem

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)

10. Hey at least they are making progress. They're using real polls instead of online polls.

Mon Dec 14, 2015, 01:45 PM

Dec 2015

True, they are messing with the data to the point it's meaningless but at least they are using real polls now.

The attempts to make online polls into something that meant something was a real low for DU.

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The Sanders campaign is EXACTLY where it should be at this moment in Iowa [View all] Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 OP

But the topline number went down!! So it's over!! jeff47 Dec 2015 #1

I'm on your side so don't take this the wrong way tularetom Dec 2015 #2

No, you're not. The OP has the Pollster regression doing something it can't do well Godhumor Dec 2015 #3

The top graph is very slightly different. The other two graphs come out exactly the same regardless Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #4

Um. No... SidDithers Dec 2015 #5

That's correct. Clinton is now polling at the same level as her pre-Bengazi hearing poll in Iowa. Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #8

Hey at least they are making progress. They're using real polls instead of online polls. stevenleser Dec 2015 #10

Yeppers... SidDithers Dec 2015 #12

Looks like you had some trouble with the chart controls.. DCBob Dec 2015 #6

That is not a chart of the Des Moines Register polling, which is the topic, but thanks for playing! Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #9

That poster never claimed it was. But it is a reflection of whats really going on in Iowa. stevenleser Dec 2015 #11

Its clear you are the one playing games.. not me. DCBob Dec 2015 #14

Ronald H. Coase — "If you torture the data long enough, it will confess." bluestateguy Dec 2015 #7

LOL workinclasszero Dec 2015 #21

It's obvious that that there are not enough points for a good predictive analysis. CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #13

I mention this in another post... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #17

Rallies are not indictive of voter support - they indictive of voter passion. CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #18

That's absolutely untrue when it comes to political rallies in Iowa CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #27

From what I have seen of the Sanders rally's - including those in Iowa... CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #31

You obviously don't understand the dynamics of Iowa politics... CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #32

Kickin' for Bernie! in_cog_ni_to Dec 2015 #15

My husband and I saw this Iowa poll and we hugged. GREAT news for Bernie! CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #16

Let's talk about how excited you are March 2nd CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #19

Yes, Bernie will march on, collecting delegates faster than Clinton loses her superdelegates who theislander Dec 2015 #34

Ah yes, the DU Cold-Water Brigade! CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #35

Humm.... Reality equals cold water splashed in the faces of Sander's supporters CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #40

I'm so glad that you are doing the important work up in Iowa. Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #33

There are a couple of things about the Iowa caucuses that I'm wondering about Art_from_Ark Dec 2015 #38

Iowa has multi-level caucuses. CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #41

In second place and fading fast? workinclasszero Dec 2015 #20

Sanders started out at .8 percent in Iowa! CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #36

kick! n/t in_cog_ni_to Dec 2015 #22

Ons statistic SCREAMED at me. bvar22 Dec 2015 #23

amen! ibegurpard Dec 2015 #25

I hope you are right. Juicy_Bellows Dec 2015 #26

Sanders already has "real traction" bvar22 Dec 2015 #29

Yes and perhaps my real traction comment was ill-advised. Juicy_Bellows Dec 2015 #30

That momentum (if it ever builds) will hit a brick wall in Nevata & South Carolina CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #42

No it's not ibegurpard Dec 2015 #24

Campaigning against the media? lol. nt. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #28

Save the energy. It's over .. Hillary is winning cosmicone Dec 2015 #37

Hillary is winning just like Dean 2004, Gingrich 2012, Giuliani 2008, and Clinton 2008 were winning Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #39

The chickens are already hatching... CajunBlazer Dec 2015 #43

Here in my country, we allow the voters to have a say. Who selects the queen in your country? Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #44

Yup, exactly where it should be... SidDithers Dec 2015 #45

Yep. Down 32, just where he needs to be. Persondem Dec 2015 #46

Either the Des Moines Register polling is right or the Loras polling is right. The Des Moines Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #47