2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: The Sanders campaign is EXACTLY where it should be at this moment in Iowa [View all]CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)The ones that everyone is focusing on Feb. 1st are the district level caucuses. There are something like 1,774 throughout the state. At each of those caucuses those present cast their votes for the candidate of their choice and those results is what you will see published the evening of 2/1/16.
However, that really isn't the important part - there is the subsequent vote in each district caucus to elect a person who will represent the district caucus at the county caucus. There are 99 district caucuses. Then each county caucus will elect people to represent the county caucus at the State Convention. The State Convention will then elect the 30 delegates to the Democratic. The process of select the Iowa delegates will not be completed until July.
I support Hillary, and it looks like she is in a good position now to win in Iowa, but regardless of who wins in that state, I consider the entire Iowa process a sham. For one thing it is a closed caucus system. Unless you are a registered Democrat or a registered Republican you can not attend the Democratic or the Republican caucuses. There are more voters registered as "No party" (or independents) in Iowa than there are either registered Democrats or Republicans. They can participate in neither caucus. So the largest segment of the Iowa voter population cannot participate in the caucus process.
In addition, the district caucuses take a lot time and effort to attend. They may last two hours so attendance is usually low. So the results for both the Democratic and Republican caucuses on 2/1 will represent only a small percentage of registered Iowa voters. In addition, the vote totals you will see reported is really just the result of straw polls, they mean nothing. The votes that really count are for delegates to the county conventions. Caucuses with very large attendance send the same same number representatives to the county caucuses as caucuses with light attendance.
IMHO the entire process sucks big time!