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2016 Postmortem

Persondem

(1,936 posts)

17. Clinton's lead in Iowa had been well outside the MoE for about 2 months

Reply to stevenleser (Original post)

Wed Dec 16, 2015, 11:54 PM

Dec 2015

Iowa is solidly for Clinton now. Sanders has a chance in NH which will likely be closer than Iowa but if Clinton wins in a landslide then NH undecideds will break her way and Sanders is toast. Sanders will be done anyways after NV and SC, but hanging on in NH might keep him viable until super Tuesday.

This is an especially nice data point ... "Clinton’s favorability rating is 73/19 while Sanders’ comes in at 65/23."

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32 replies

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Highlight:

PPP Iowa Poll has Hillary up 18 points [View all] stevenleser Dec 2015 OP

Well there goes the argument that it is really a tie if the difference is only ten points. nt Agnosticsherbet Dec 2015 #1

RCP has all you need to know about the race. It's not close and its not getting closer. stevenleser Dec 2015 #2

I look forward to the voting. nt Agnosticsherbet Dec 2015 #6

Interesting how the people saying "it could be a tie" never say "we could be behind by even more" brooklynite Dec 2015 #3

"Why, sometimes I've believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast." The Red Queen Agnosticsherbet Dec 2015 #5

I don't blame them. If I were going to face upaloopa Dec 2015 #7

And they got those rose colored glasses screwed down tight workinclasszero Dec 2015 #21

Wow Hillary is taking men away from Bernie upaloopa Dec 2015 #4

Six weeks until Hillary wins Iowa. nt onehandle Dec 2015 #8

I wish that PPP Chitown Kev Dec 2015 #9

... Cali_Democrat Dec 2015 #10

With poll numbers like that Chitown Kev Dec 2015 #11

A "K" for the poll #s, and an "R" for one of DU's biggest assets. MeNMyVolt Dec 2015 #12

Looks like another landline-only poll. winter is coming Dec 2015 #13

HRC's Campaign Manager: "A lot of the public polling is not very reliable" antigop Dec 2015 #14

That article is from June of this year WTF!!! bigdarryl Dec 2015 #24

Looks like his star is all Berned out... tritsofme Dec 2015 #15

We're getting there... slowly, but surely lunamagica Dec 2015 #16

Clinton's lead in Iowa had been well outside the MoE for about 2 months Persondem Dec 2015 #17

yes, great favorability rating for Hillary in IOWA riversedge Dec 2015 #28

Gold standard Selzer has Hillary up only 9 jfern Dec 2015 #18

WooHoo Alfresco Dec 2015 #19

Yes but, my friend, the PPP poll had Hillary up by 32% five weeks ago ( their last poll).. Pauldg47 Dec 2015 #20

AM Reality Kick Alfresco Dec 2015 #22

How can Bernie expect to win with awful numbers like that?? NurseJackie Dec 2015 #23

Hillary up 18 in Iowa. She is running an excellent campaign. Alfresco Dec 2015 #25

I'm frankly surprised Sec Clinton's favorability ratings are highter than Sen Sanders tishaLA Dec 2015 #26

Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #27

She just keeps losing ground, doesn't she? Jester Messiah Dec 2015 #29

PPP is considered an outlier. floriduck Dec 2015 #30

K&R eom MohRokTah Dec 2015 #31

K&R RandySF Dec 2015 #32