2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: ABC, CBS, And NBC News Have Made An INTENTIONAL Decision To Ignore Bernie Sanders [View all]ConservativeDemocrat
(2,720 posts)And how Nate Silver was derided as an idiot, etc, etc? All for saying that President Obama was going to win?
Using the polls that you're saying are so inaccurate, Mr. Silver correctly predicted 50 out of 50 states. That's a fairly decent batting average, if I do say so myself. This is especially the case because many of those polls showed only a couple digit lead. Not a 20 point one.
So I'm not exactly sure how you can imagine that this has changed all that much in four years.
Again, I'm not saying that polls are everything. And maybe a single point lead doesn't mean quite as much as it did once upon a time. But the idea that there is this massive under-representation of people who are too leftist to be comfortable as Democrats (which is the prevailing thesis of anti-Clinton/pro-Bernie screed writers on the DU) is entirely unsupported by the facts.
- C.D. Proud Member of the Reality Based Community