is it has taken them this long to make that a possibility. Early on, they had Bernie at 0 chance.
Keep watching, soon 538 will publish an article titled "Why Bernie Sander's May Actually Win The White House" and proclaim their genius at predicting this "early".
The best polls are internal polls because the sample size is every potential voter contacted by the campaigns. I am sure HC is seeing internals showing Bernie within 5% in Iowa. Two more weeks and it becomes hardcore GOTV efforts duplicating phone calls to people who id'ed as supporters to get them to commit to caucusing/voting.
One thing I know, is HC's org is very well organized, perhaps a bit too broad too early as she wanted to wrap this up. Her campaign is in a position to exploit several early organizing efforts in States where Bernie is behind in Organizing (Beyond Super Tuesday). Not saying Bernie isn't organizing there, he is, it's just HC has been in some of those States for months. Her support will erode quickly if Bernie wins Iowa and NH, which I think will happen. I also think he has a stellar shot at NV and will do well in SC.
HC is positioned for the long haul with one exception, her cash on hand and much of her wealthy donor base is tapped. She will rely much more on PAC ads and ground work. She may even try to tap into more press by going "Trumpish" although I think that is doubtful, because I do believe that if she sees herself losing this Primary, she will turn her full support behind Bernie and encourage her supporters to "get in line" for Bernie.
Keep donating to Bernie and if you have the time to work the phones and/or canvas please go for it!
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