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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Why I'm supporting the wildest, most radical left wing candidate: [View all]Gothmog
(145,086 posts)142. New CNN poll: A majority of Americans say they think President Trump is going to win a second term
Link to tweet
A majority of Americans say they think Donald Trump is going to win a second term, according to a CNN Poll conducted by SSRS, even as the President's reviews on issues other than the economy remain largely negative.
The new poll finds 54% say their best guess is that Trump will win the 2020 election, 41% feel he will lose. Americans are slightly more apt to say Trump will win now than they were to say Barack Obama would win a second term in May 2011, in a survey conducted just after the death of Osama bin Laden (50% thought Obama would win in that poll). The new numbers on Trump are a reversal from December, when a narrow majority of 51% said they thought Trump would lose his bid for re-election.
The shift over that time comes mostly among those who disapprove of Trump's handling of the presidency. In December, 81% in that group said they thought the President would lose, and now, that's fallen to 67%. At the same time, the share who approve of the President and think he will win has held mostly steady (88% now vs. 85% in December).
The dislike those disapprovers hold for Trump is palpable in the poll. Asked to explain in their own words why they disapprove of Trump, Trump's behavior is a central reason. The most frequently cited responses are lying (13%), racism (11%), incompetence (11%) and not acting presidential (7%). Immigration, named by 7%, is the only specific issue that merits mention by 5% or more.
The new poll finds 54% say their best guess is that Trump will win the 2020 election, 41% feel he will lose. Americans are slightly more apt to say Trump will win now than they were to say Barack Obama would win a second term in May 2011, in a survey conducted just after the death of Osama bin Laden (50% thought Obama would win in that poll). The new numbers on Trump are a reversal from December, when a narrow majority of 51% said they thought Trump would lose his bid for re-election.
The shift over that time comes mostly among those who disapprove of Trump's handling of the presidency. In December, 81% in that group said they thought the President would lose, and now, that's fallen to 67%. At the same time, the share who approve of the President and think he will win has held mostly steady (88% now vs. 85% in December).
The dislike those disapprovers hold for Trump is palpable in the poll. Asked to explain in their own words why they disapprove of Trump, Trump's behavior is a central reason. The most frequently cited responses are lying (13%), racism (11%), incompetence (11%) and not acting presidential (7%). Immigration, named by 7%, is the only specific issue that merits mention by 5% or more.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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Yang seems radical, but without any political (Actual election) experience may be a long shot.
rgbecker
Feb 2019
#5
I like Yang too... though I look forward to having you come aboard the Bernie train
InAbLuEsTaTe
Apr 2019
#101
Based on past elections, not so much. 12% of Sander-tRump voters in 2016 vs 24% Hillary-McCain
CentralMass
Jul 2019
#151
Too bad the Democrat who brought healthcare to millions of poor children...
CrossingTheRubicon
Feb 2019
#8
and to top it off, just enough self-identifed progressives refused to vote for the Democratic
still_one
Mar 2019
#51
I realize that, but a "form" of Medicare for all has been proposed since 1943.
George II
Mar 2019
#47
Answer for deaths? What about the lives saved while we waited for Sanders to save us?
dawg day
Mar 2019
#60
We have a candidate whose "gaffe" was to whisper "This is a BFD" to his president...
Hekate
Jun 2019
#147
They called themselves that before deciding on the name Democratic leadership Conference. (DLC)
hedda_foil
Feb 2019
#13
I think it's entirely possible that Sanders himself doesn't think he can win.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#24
Even if he becomes the nominee? If so, then I agree that isn't helpful at all.
Sapient Donkey
May 2019
#132
I'm eagar to hear more from Beto. His talk about "Taking a knee" was moving for me.
rgbecker
Feb 2019
#34
46% in the Florida exit poll said Andrew Gillum was too liberal for the state
Awsi Dooger
Feb 2019
#31
I wonder if after Bernie releases his tax return people will have anything to bitch about.
rgbecker
Feb 2019
#36
It so sad you aren't here to discuss Bernie's taxes. You came close though, you almost made it
Autumn
Apr 2019
#112
I agree, along with the other 4 or 5 running who have not released theirs yet.
vsrazdem
Apr 2019
#103
Yes, we do. I am getting tired of Bernie not showing his taxes. I still support him, but
vsrazdem
Apr 2019
#105
I agree, but the sooner the better. Primaries are not birthday parties, so there is bound to be
vsrazdem
Apr 2019
#107
Don't bother asking what I think if you are just gonna tell me what not to say.
MrsCoffee
Feb 2019
#39
If the Democrats hand the GOP the Socialist label to hammer on we are in trouble.
rgbecker
Mar 2019
#45
Good point. But we have no leader and no media savvy. Repetitious propaganda
Laura PourMeADrink
Mar 2019
#50
Here's what matters..what state those "none of the above" are from. If they are from WI MI and PA
Laura PourMeADrink
Mar 2019
#49
I'm excited about Beto too! The picture shows him younger than I thought, though.
rgbecker
Mar 2019
#84
I talked about "infighting" in another post..So, the proof is right here right now.
Stuart G
Mar 2019
#88
Bullshit. Actual elections, not polls or opinions, have shown that actual voters...
TreasonousBastard
Mar 2019
#94
I guess your worries are over. He doesn't have a chance of being the Democratic Candidate.
rgbecker
Apr 2019
#118
Nate is right that there is no way for sanders to get majority of delegates with 30% of primary vote
Gothmog
Apr 2019
#125
Could be the issue will change as the GOP comtemplates Trump's chances in 2020.
rgbecker
Apr 2019
#127
Washington Post-Opinion: If the economy keeps its momentum, 2020 will be Trump's to lose
Gothmog
May 2019
#128
Very interesting post. I think it's the best argument I've heard for Bernie Sanders yet.
mtnsnake
May 2019
#130
The GOP has large oppo file and would use this and other material if sanders was nominee
Gothmog
May 2019
#140
New CNN poll: A majority of Americans say they think President Trump is going to win a second term
Gothmog
Jun 2019
#142
He was a deadbeat dad who supported Communist dictators; he would be shredded in a general election
LongtimeAZDem
Jun 2019
#149