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Undecided 44%
Elizabeth Warren22%
Joe Biden14%
Bernie Sanders8%
Pete Buttigieg6%

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 07:31 AM

 

Is Bernie Sanders Finished? [View all]


Democrats like him. They just show no signs of wanting to vote for him this time around.

By Jonathan Bernstein
June 10, 2019, 6:33 AM EDT

At least a dozen Democratic presidential candidates have plausible paths to the nomination. Maybe more than that. And after the 2016 election, Iím not counting anyone out. That said: I think itís starting to sink in that Senator Bernie Sanders is right at the fringes of plausibility. At best.

Thatís what Iím seeing from the mainstream media, some liberal bloggers and sophisticated polling analysis. Recent Iowa polls show Sanders at about 15%, essentially in a three-person race for second place with Senator Elizabeth Warren and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg. Thatís for a candidate who won half the vote there in 2016.

And while Sanders is faring somewhat better nationally, thatís mainly because almost all the other candidates remain unknown to voters. As Nate Silver points out, only about 8% of Democrats say theyíre definitely supporting Sanders. In other words, itís entirely plausible that Sanders could fail to reach the delegate threshold in Iowa, Nevada, and South Carolina (and possibly New Hampshire). Even if he stayed in, he probably wouldnít be much of a factor.

Sanders does have some assets, of course. That 8% matches former Vice President Joe Bidenís dedicated voters, and no one else registers as more than a rounding error at this point. If itís true that any candidate can catch fire and surge in the polls, then Sanders definitely starts a step ahead of everyone but Biden. He also has plenty of money and the capacity for raising more. He remains well-liked by Democrats.

more
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-06-10/bernie-sanders-might-not-be-a-viable-2020-contender
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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DonViejo Jun 2019 OP
Gothmog Jun 2019 #1
LibFarmer Jun 2019 #2
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LibFarmer Jun 2019 #18
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cwydro Jun 2019 #32
thesquanderer Jun 2019 #35
customerserviceguy Jun 2019 #24
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customerserviceguy Jun 2019 #26
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Demsrule86 Jun 2019 #38
Gothmog Jun 2019 #36
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