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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
In the discussion thread: Is Bernie Sanders Finished? [View all]

Response to Tom Rinaldo (Reply #6)

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 01:32 PM

25. I think the difference is

 

that:

1. Warren didn't have the name recognition that Sanders did. He started off with an advantage and he's taken it, well, nowhere.
2. Meanwhile, his primary competition for the same voter pool (Warren) is rising. That's not good news for Biden. Even if she tapers off a bit, what I think is clear is that she's not going to fall of the map either. Thus, there's little reason to believe through at least Super Tuesday, that Sanders is not going to consolidate the progressive vote.
3. Biden could also lose some ground (and already has) but there's no reason to believe he too is going to fall off the map, or that his votes will go to Bernie vice one of the other top candidates.

Thus, you have a situation where Bernie seems capped. There's probably a minimum he won't fall below, but there's also probably a maximum he won't rise above.

To me, then, you are looking at a muddled mess of choices and ultimately some sort of compromise candidate, which Bernie is never going to be.

So, IMO, and I've said this from the start...Bernie's ceiling is too low to win the nomination. Maybe if Warren had sat out, but she's in, so I think to a certain extent barring some sort of political earthquake he is "finished."
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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DonViejo Jun 2019 OP
Gothmog Jun 2019 #1
LibFarmer Jun 2019 #2
Funtatlaguy Jun 2019 #3
qazplm135 Jun 2019 #5
Funtatlaguy Jun 2019 #7
comradebillyboy Jun 2019 #15
LibFarmer Jun 2019 #18
qazplm135 Jun 2019 #23
Cha Jun 2019 #30
cwydro Jun 2019 #32
thesquanderer Jun 2019 #35
customerserviceguy Jun 2019 #24
SidDithers Jun 2019 #4
Tom Rinaldo Jun 2019 #6
watoos Jun 2019 #9
cwydro Jun 2019 #33
LineLineReply I think the difference is
qazplm135 Jun 2019 #25
Gothmog Jun 2019 #41
McKim Jun 2019 #8
FBaggins Jun 2019 #10
customerserviceguy Jun 2019 #26
FBaggins Jun 2019 #29
customerserviceguy Jun 2019 #34
Blue_Tires Jun 2019 #11
aikoaiko Jun 2019 #12
customerserviceguy Jun 2019 #27
Demsrule86 Jun 2019 #37
Stellar Jun 2019 #13
Demsrule86 Jun 2019 #39
Stellar Jun 2019 #40
MineralMan Jun 2019 #14
uawchild Jun 2019 #16
LibFarmer Jun 2019 #19
Maven Jun 2019 #17
sacto95834 Jun 2019 #22
Cha Jun 2019 #31
lillypaddle Jun 2019 #20
mopinko Jun 2019 #21
Mike Nelson Jun 2019 #28
Demsrule86 Jun 2019 #38
Gothmog Jun 2019 #36
Gothmog Jun 2019 #42
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