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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Response to Skya Rhen (Original post)

Sun Jul 14, 2019, 04:39 PM

11. South Carolina before the debate June 20th reported in South Carolina

 


https://www.cbsnews.com/news/in-south-carolina-biden-is-democrats-top-choice/

From your link, "Biden leads among black voters in the Palmetto State with 41%." That's a big drop in South Carolina in less than a month.

Nationally back around June 20th, again using CNN as the source, An average of our CNN polling in late April and late May shows Biden lapping the field among black voters with about 50%. Harris, Sanders and Warren were all between 5% and 10%. Biden's 40 point lead among black voters was more than double his about 15 point lead among white voters.
https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/22/politics/joe-biden-2020-black-voters-poll/index.html

Now, and finishing off a sentence left out in one of your paragraphs, Harris is still about 20 points behind Biden among black voters overall. In an average of four live interview national polls (ABC News/Washington Post, CNN/SSRS, NBC News/Wall Street Journal and Quinnipiac University) taken after the debate, Biden holds 39% of the black vote. Harris is in second place with 20%, which is only 5 points ahead of Sanders' 15%.

Statistics is not my strong point but surely even I can see that he has a comfortable but shrinking lead. Those are the trends that I look for and we're just getting started.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 17 replies Author Time Post
Skya Rhen Jul 2019 OP
Scurrilous Jul 2019 #1
Loki Liesmith Jul 2019 #2
guillaumeb Jul 2019 #3
DownriverDem Jul 2019 #4
TwilightZone Jul 2019 #10
oasis Jul 2019 #5
Gustafo Jul 2019 #6
StarfishSaver Jul 2019 #7
Vegas Roller Jul 2019 #8
LakeArenal Jul 2019 #9
LineNew Reply South Carolina before the debate June 20th reported in South Carolina
Kind of Blue Jul 2019 #11
Cha Jul 2019 #12
Skya Rhen Jul 2019 #15
Cha Jul 2019 #16
Turin_C3PO Jul 2019 #13
helpisontheway Jul 2019 #14
Cha Jul 2019 #17
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