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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
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Response to John Fante (Reply #75)

Tue Mar 12, 2019, 05:44 PM

85. Iowa is a rural white state

 

and polls this far out mean very little and mainly reflect name recognition. Biden and Bernie are nationally known whereas most of the other candidates are not.

At this same time in:

-2015 Jeb Bush and Scott Walker were way ahead in the polls and Trump was at 1%.
-2007 Obama was well behind Hillary.
-1991 Bill was in single digits well behind Jerry Brown. It was only until late '91/early '92 that Bill started to catch up and pull away.

Even if Bernie does well in IA and NH (which is no guarantee) it says nothing about how he'll do in more diverse and populous states, that he did terribly in against Hillary last time, especially when primaries (as opposed to caucuses) were held.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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LineLineLineLineLineLineLineLineLineLineReply Iowa is a rural white state
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