Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Why is the Sanders campaign (and its fans) doxxing liberal critics on Twitter?? [View all]betsuni
(25,378 posts)"Why did Clinton fail to perform better among women voters? One reason is the weaker gender solidarity among women. For example, in the September 2016 ... Presidential Election Panel Study, only about a third of women said that being a woman was 'extremely important' to their identity, while 61 percent of blacks said their race was 'extremely important.' That lack of gender solidarity was politically consequential too. Hillary Clinton was significantly less popular than Obama was among the majority of women who did not see gender as extremely important to their identities. Thus, Clinton's performance among women in both the Democratic primary and the general election confirmed past research showing that race and partisanship are more important than gender in how people vote. The salience of race and partisanship helps explain why Clinton lost white women by 9 points -- a deficit larger than Barack Obama's in 2008 and Al Gore's in 2000.
"A more important explanation for the drop in African American turn-out had to do with Obama and Clinton themselves. When Obama ran in 2008 and 2012, black turnout was over 5 percent higher than it had been in any election on record. Obama's two campaigns confirmed research showing that African-Americans' in-group identity -- their identification with blacks as a group -- impacts how they think and act in politics. ... It was arguably unrealistic to expect similarly high levels of black turnout for a white democratic candidate in 2016. That does not mean that Clinton was unpopular among African-Americans.
"The activation of racial attitudes helped Trump more than Clinton. Despite the ongoing alignment of racial attitudes and partisanship, as of 2012 a substantial minority of white Obama voters still expressed less favorable views of immigration, undocumented immigrants, African Americans and other minority groups. Trump's appeal to these voters helped ensure that Obama supporters in 2012 who voted for Trump in 2016 outnumbered Romney supporters who voted for Clinton. And because these voters were disproportionately represented in battle ground states such as Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, they helped Trump win the Electoral College -- especially when the coalition that elected Obama did not show up for Clinton in comparable numbers. Before the election the prevailing wisdom was that the country's growing diversity would help the Democrats continue to win the White House. Trump's victory showed that the backlash against that diversity could be a winning issue, too."
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden