Democratic Primaries

Celerity

(43,317 posts)

6. Intrade was very accurate, until the US basically shut it down by barring Americans from using it

Fri Aug 16, 2019, 02:31 AM

Aug 2019

DEATH AT THE SUMMIT

As CEO of Intrade, John Delaney harnessed the wisdom of the crowds, with often freakishly prescient results. Technocratic dreamers were ecstatic about the company's ability to predict the future, and maybe even reshape society. Today Delaney's company has collapsed and his body is entombed atop Mount Everest. A tale of bravado, bluster, and efficient markets.

https://psmag.com/social-justice/death-summit-67326

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Predict It now has Elizabeth Warren as the favorite to win the Dem nomination [View all] Quixote1818 Aug 2019 OP

I predicted her winning 2 years ago. And put my hunch all across my bumper: DemocracyMouse Aug 2019 #1

+1000. Kind of Blue Aug 2019 #4

These things measure what people think, nothing BootinUp Aug 2019 #2

However, they are surprisingly accurate Quixote1818 Aug 2019 #3

Intrade was very accurate, until the US basically shut it down by barring Americans from using it Celerity Aug 2019 #6

There is no BootinUp Aug 2019 #7

If you think one miss vs a long track record of more wins than losses helps your argument Quixote1818 Aug 2019 #9

I work with statistics plenty. Thank you. Bye. Nt BootinUp Aug 2019 #10

Awesome! Kind of Blue Aug 2019 #5

29 cents for Warren? ucrdem Aug 2019 #8

I would be A-OK handmade34 Aug 2019 #11