Democratic Primaries

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

37. Um, no... it's very significant in regards to delegate counts in the primaries

Mon Sep 16, 2019, 06:23 PM

Sep 2019

Delegates will be won by candidates getting over 15% in a given primary.

So, Warren and Sanders total being greater that Biden's is HUGELY significant. It might mean that Biden won't be able to get a majority of the delegates and win the nomination outright.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Morning Consult Post Debate Poll: Biden 32%, Sanders 20%, Warren 18%, Harris 6% [View all] Otto Lidenbrock Sep 2019 OP

They obviously haven't factored in Corn Pop gate yet. LincolnRossiter Sep 2019 #1

RCP POLLS: Biden now down to 26.2% Average support with this poll. bluewater Sep 2019 #3

It is tightening for sure Tiggeroshii Sep 2019 #5

Looking at the past 6 weeks of polling, Biden is shown fading. bluewater Sep 2019 #8

Sure. A lot of more favorable polls fell out of the average. Those that currently make up th current LincolnRossiter Sep 2019 #6

The trend is what the trend is... bluewater Sep 2019 #9

The trend is negligible. He was ahead approximately 10.5 a couple of weeks ago. He's about LincolnRossiter Sep 2019 #11

um, no... Biden was at 32.2% on august 5th compared to 26.2% today bluewater Sep 2019 #12

Again, this polling sample happens to capture most the the polls he's done relatively poorly in and LincolnRossiter Sep 2019 #15

The Hill/HarrisX poll is factored in. lol bluewater Sep 2019 #17

Be well. LincolnRossiter Sep 2019 #18

Yes it has!! Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #24

Slowly. Inch by inch. Step by step. Hassin Bin Sober Sep 2019 #10

lol HeartlandProgressive Sep 2019 #20

Wil E Coyote Hassin redstateblues Sep 2019 #56

The new MC poll must certainly be an enviable position for the other candidates Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #23

Corn Pop Gate!! OMG. May he Rest In Peace ✌️ emmaverybo Sep 2019 #55

Morning Consult Post Debate Poll : Early States ritapria Sep 2019 #2

Yup Bernie is surging! Joe941 Sep 2019 #27

Wow! The early state polling looks even better for Biden. Thx for posting Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #28

One thing that is noteworthy now is if you combine warren and sanders Tiggeroshii Sep 2019 #4

I don't read much into that Otto Lidenbrock Sep 2019 #7

It's significant for delegate counts in the up coming primaries. bluewater Sep 2019 #13

I really do consider that wishful thinking...I follow the polls closely...I see no fading from Biden Demsrule86 Sep 2019 #48

If Sanders drops out, which, though unlikely, is the likeliest scenario... OilemFirchen Sep 2019 #16

Sanders won't be dropping out unless something unforeseen happens bluewater Sep 2019 #19

Then it's useless to combine Warren and Sanders percentages for analysis. OilemFirchen Sep 2019 #31

Um, no... it's very significant in regards to delegate counts in the primaries bluewater Sep 2019 #37

I've tried to compose a response to this several times. OilemFirchen Sep 2019 #40

lol So you didn't know you need a majority of the delegates to win the nomination? bluewater Sep 2019 #41

What the hell are you talking about? OilemFirchen Sep 2019 #42

A PLURALITY of the delegates does not win the nomination. bluewater Sep 2019 #43

Still not making sense. OilemFirchen Sep 2019 #44

It is really simple, delegates continue voting until one candidate gets a majority. bluewater Sep 2019 #46

This.. you beat me to it!! Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #22

It doesn't work that way. Here's a poll of second choices for voters and where that support goes Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #21

I don't think the votes neccesarily will go to Warren if Sanders drops out and I don't think he Demsrule86 Sep 2019 #47

I believe that within 4 wks Harris will be polling at 4% nt Kahuna7 Sep 2019 #14

Luv the jif...she's classy and cool! Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #25

LOL! I'm expecting the incoming. I expect people to tell me... Kahuna7 Sep 2019 #26

Especially after yesterday. Thekaspervote Sep 2019 #29

What's sauce for the goose.... Kahuna7 Sep 2019 #32

Surging redstateblues Sep 2019 #57

Additional info on AA community (per age group) & ideology breakdowns peggysue2 Sep 2019 #30

Thanks for Posting internals on Morning Consult Poll ritapria Sep 2019 #33

No problem peggysue2 Sep 2019 #34

Thank you for that. Despite attempts by some to overemphasize Biden's "gaffes".... Tarheel_Dem Sep 2019 #35

Good to hear, Tarheel Dem peggysue2 Sep 2019 #36

We. Are. Not. Budging. Skya Rhen Sep 2019 #49

seems like Biden has gained among young AA JI7 Sep 2019 #38

Looks like it though . . . peggysue2 Sep 2019 #39

Thanks, Peggysue! Cha Sep 2019 #45

Most welcome, Cha peggysue2 Sep 2019 #50

Because.. Corn Pop! Cha Sep 2019 #51

Hahahaha! peggysue2 Sep 2019 #53

Yeah, looking at you, Michael Harriot.. Cha Sep 2019 #54

Lesson: never race bait a legend with a great civil rights track record. nt MadDAsHell Sep 2019 #52

... Scurrilous Sep 2019 #58