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Democratic Primaries

bluewater

(5,376 posts)

3. Such difference between polls are not unusual and actually are a good sign the polls are honest.

Reply to Alhena (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 24, 2019, 11:07 AM

Oct 2019

The randomness of sampling and systematic differences in polling methodology account for such disparities from poll to poll and from pollster to pollster.

538 says that this is actually a good sign that pollsters are not "herding", that is "adjusting", their results to match prevailing opinion.

This is why 538 and other data journalists tell us to look at an average of poll results and not cherry pick single polls.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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*Breaking*: Warren Leads Biden by 7 points in NEW Quinnipiac poll [View all] Bradshaw3 Oct 2019 OP

What's going on with the polls? This is way beyond normal deviation Alhena Oct 2019 #1

Such difference between polls are not unusual and actually are a good sign the polls are honest. bluewater Oct 2019 #3

Oh, You're Back! DarthDem Oct 2019 #6

I always look at the size of the poll... CTyankee Oct 2019 #15

Yeah, but line it up against ALL the other post 3rd debate and what do you see? UncleNoel Oct 2019 #24

We see Biden down to 27.2% support at RCP POLLS bluewater Oct 2019 #25

Agree...hard to know which to believe DrToast Oct 2019 #5

Yes indeed... there have been at least 6 new A+ and other polls out this week showing Biden Thekaspervote Oct 2019 #7

Meh Bradshaw3 Oct 2019 #8

RCP POLLS has Joe at 27.2 % support w a +5.4 lead over Warren bluewater Oct 2019 #11

Expect a thundering herd of Biden fans telling you what the poll got wrong! n/t Baclava Oct 2019 #2

The herd has already shown up Bradshaw3 Oct 2019 #9

Primary polls jcgoldie Oct 2019 #4

I believe Quinnipiac has published a pro- Warrenn outlier ritapria Oct 2019 #10

Right! jcgoldie Oct 2019 #12

Let's look at Quinnipiac's Methodology: random live caller, land lines & cell phones... HeartlandProgressive Oct 2019 #13

thank you :) jcgoldie Oct 2019 #16

There's a pattern emerging of people making sweeping statements while presenting no evidence. bluewater Oct 2019 #17

You have nailed it Bradshaw3 Oct 2019 #19

I respect people's opinions, but bold declarations should be substantiated, no? HeartlandProgressive Oct 2019 #14

+10000 Celerity Oct 2019 #23

I believe your position is anti-Warren Bradshaw3 Oct 2019 #18

Blame the polls, blame the media... but never blame the Sacred Cow. LanternWaste Oct 2019 #21

Good poll for Warren Bhphoto Oct 2019 #20

Very proud of Warren. Aaron Pereira Oct 2019 #22