My crystal ball on Bernie and Mayor Pete

[beastie boy]

1. Despite Biden's steady lead so far, the race is extremely fluid. I wish I had a crystal ball.

I clearly have my preference, but I cannot not venture to predict a winner. Not too long ago Harris was favorite to surpass Bernie and even Warren. Not too long ago Biden was consistently 15-20 points ahead of anyone else. Not too long ago Buttigieg was just a funny name. The chess pieces are moving, and that's what makes it interesting.

It is safe to say that alliances will be made between candidates, including top candidates. This will probably define the field more than the candidates who drop out, but I agree, it is not likely to happen until Super Tuesday. A lot also depends on how Republican candidates will do on Super Tuesday, and on the implications the outcomes of the GOP races, especially for Senate republicans, will have on Trump's impeachment and conviction prospects after the pressure of being "primaried" is lifted off the GOP candidates. This will certainly impact the democratic race, although I don't know how.

I've got my popcorn ready!