HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » Democratic Primaries (Forum) » Poll: GOP voters drawn to... » Reply #40
Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Response to Gothmog (Original post)

Tue Dec 31, 2019, 03:02 AM

40. It is a grave error to think this translates into votes

 

Nothing in this poll suggests Biden is uniquely positioned to flip votes to D from R. The poll question is this (asked for each leading candidate separately):

... how closely do they align with your personal political views?


Choices are very closely, somewhat closely, not very closely or not closely at all. The 33% figure for Biden is the combination of the first two categories among self-identified Republicans. The lowest any Democrat listed got was Warren and Buttigieg's 26%, which isn't all that much lower (Sanders was 28%, Bloomberg 30%) in a poll listing a 3.1% margin of error.

Bear in mind that the poll offers respondents three options for party affiliation - R, D and Independent. What this result says is this: among the group most likely to vote for Trump, slightly more claim their views align with Biden than with other candidates. Reality check: those people are voting for Trump in 2020, period. The poll did not ask whether they'd consider voting for a Democrat, and in a world where Trump's approval rating is still north of 40%, these are the people who simply will not vote for us.

Turn out the Democrats and the sane independents. We win by bringing record numbers of voters to the polls, not by "persuading" people who still imagine Trump is a fit president. Those people are beyond persuasion.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to OP Alert abuse Link to post in-thread

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 62 replies Author Time Post
Gothmog Dec 2019 OP
Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #1
Autumn Dec 2019 #2
pangaia Dec 2019 #3
InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #6
dflprincess Dec 2019 #13
boomer_wv Dec 2019 #18
InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #30
LineLineLineLineLineReply .
boomer_wv Dec 2019 #36
Name removed Dec 2019 #7
Autumn Dec 2019 #12
Name removed Dec 2019 #14
GP6971 Dec 2019 #15
Name removed Dec 2019 #16
Autumn Dec 2019 #17
Name removed Dec 2019 #19
Autumn Dec 2019 #24
Name removed Dec 2019 #25
dflprincess Dec 2019 #4
InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #9
InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #10
myohmy2 Dec 2019 #5
InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #8
Name removed Dec 2019 #11
Autumn Dec 2019 #21
Name removed Dec 2019 #26
Otto Lidenbrock Dec 2019 #27
Name removed Dec 2019 #28
Cha Dec 2019 #34
treestar Jan 2020 #59
Cha Dec 2019 #31
myohmy2 Dec 2019 #35
Cha Dec 2019 #37
The Valley Below Dec 2019 #20
JoeOtterbein Dec 2019 #22
Name removed Dec 2019 #23
napi21 Dec 2019 #29
JoeOtterbein Dec 2019 #33
LanternWaste Dec 2019 #42
JoeOtterbein Dec 2019 #45
treestar Jan 2020 #58
jcmaine72 Dec 2019 #32
rusty quoin Dec 2019 #38
ArcticFox Dec 2019 #39
LineReply It is a grave error to think this translates into votes
caraher Dec 2019 #40
LakeArenal Jan 2020 #55
Kahuna7 Dec 2019 #41
Peacetrain Dec 2019 #43
Kahuna7 Dec 2019 #44
LongtimeAZDem Jan 2020 #49
Kahuna7 Jan 2020 #50
LongtimeAZDem Jan 2020 #51
Gothmog Jan 2020 #46
crazytown Jan 2020 #48
Gothmog Jan 2020 #61
crazytown Jan 2020 #47
emmaverybo Jan 2020 #52
crazytown Jan 2020 #54
emmaverybo Jan 2020 #56
MineralMan Jan 2020 #53
treestar Jan 2020 #57
Blue_true Jan 2020 #60
NYMinute Jan 2020 #62
Please login to view edit histories.