Iowa Beware polls [View all]

[judeling]

Polling averages 4 days before Caucus and actual

2016 (R)
Donald Trump 31.2% 24.3% -6.9
Ted Cruz 26.5 27.6 +1.1
Marco Rubio 13.6 23.1 +9.5
Carson 9.0 9.3 +0.3
Jeb Bush 4.6 2.8 -1.8
Rand Paul 3.7 4.5 +0.8
Chris Christie 3.3 1.8 -1.5
Mike Huckabee 2.6 1.8 -0.8

2016 (D)
Hillary Clinton 49.4 49.9 +0.5
Sanders 45.8 49.6 +3.8

2012 (R)
Mitt Romney 23.8 24.5 +0.7
Ron Paul 23.0 21.4 -1.6
Newt Gingrich 15.8 13.3 -2.5
Rick Perry 12.3 10.3 -2.0
Rick Santorum 11.2 24.6 +13.4

2008 (D)
Hillary Clinton 31.4 29.5 -1.9
Barack Obama 27.3 37.6 +10.3
John Edwards 24.6 29.8 +5.2
Bill Richardson 8.0 2.1 -5.9
Biden 5.9 0.9 -5.0

There are big surprises all the time.