The Erasure of Elizabeth Warren Continues

[Awsi Dooger]

72. Everything is great about Elizabeth Warren except national electability in 2020

She needed to run in an incredibly favorable cycle like 2008, when the opposing party already served 2 consecutive terms and the outgoing president had a sustained low approval rating post-Katrina in 2005.

I realize Warren wasn't senator and wasn't viable in 2008. That doesn't remove the point. Many politicians never get the favorable cycle and others don't recognize favorable scenario from unfavorable scenario. In particular, there is always a stupid desperation to run against an incumbent. I have never understood that. It is frankly laughable. Just because you hate the incumbent and members of your party hate the incumbent doesn't remove the simple fact that the incumbent is in a commanding position.

John Kerry threw away his one opportunity when someone he didn't realize that 2004 was a negative cycle. Mitt Romney ran in two negative cycles -- 2008, 2012 -- while braindead Trump somehow contested a favorable cycle like 2016. I'm convinced it was more age reality and coincidence than anything else.

Rick Scott is the perfect example of someone who never could have been elected Florida governor without jumping in to an incredibly favorable national tailwind for his party in 2010.