Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Democratic Primaries

Showing Original Post only (View all)
 

highplainsdem

(53,028 posts)
Fri Mar 6, 2020, 10:53 AM Mar 2020

538 just updated its primary forecast. Biden with 88% chance of winning majority of delegates! [View all]

Bernie Sanders is now down to a 2% chance in their forecast.

10% chance of no one having a majority.








https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
24 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
for the first time in four years i feel theres finally an end to trump* samnsara Mar 2020 #1
He'll lose to Biden's coalition. Did you see this OP that I posted yesterday? highplainsdem Mar 2020 #9
Current delegate estimate: Biden 2290, Sanders 1476 highplainsdem Mar 2020 #2
Bernie will convince all the Super Delegates to support comradebillyboy Mar 2020 #13
Thanks to Sanders, superdelegates don't get to even vote on the first ballot anymore... W_HAMILTON Mar 2020 #16
Wow thats a huge haul onetexan Mar 2020 #18
I've been waiting for them to update their predictions - they've been holding off until today. George II Mar 2020 #3
I've been checking regularly but had checked only once earlier today. Ran across Silver's tweet highplainsdem Mar 2020 #4
Sweet music to my ears. William769 Mar 2020 #5
Mine, too. highplainsdem Mar 2020 #12
If that holds, Biden will cross 1990 on May 5. If Sanders' word is worth anything at all, LongtimeAZDem Mar 2020 #6
I think he will reach the majority with the May 2 primaries. LiberalFighter Mar 2020 #11
He won't, if history is any guide. It's gonna be deja vue 2016 all over again. brush Mar 2020 #17
Looks like Biden Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #7
It would help Dems to have this wrapped up ASAP, so we can focus on Trump. highplainsdem Mar 2020 #14
Hear hear! Maribelle Mar 2020 #8
... highplainsdem Mar 2020 #15
BOOM. Happy Hoosier Mar 2020 #10
No one beats sanders Gothmog Mar 2020 #19
We can't rule out Tulsi surging. TexasTowelie Mar 2020 #20
Maybe the Green Party will invite her to run as their candidate. onetexan Mar 2020 #22
Okay by me. I'll go with that. oasis Mar 2020 #21
This makes me smile Gothmog Mar 2020 #23
Steady as you GO JOE! Cha Mar 2020 #24
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»538 just updated its prim...»Reply #0