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Undecided 44%
Elizabeth Warren21%
Joe Biden14%
Bernie Sanders8%
Pete Buttigieg6%
In the discussion thread: Biden doing great in RCP average [View all]

Response to at140 (Original post)

Sat Apr 13, 2019, 04:49 AM

6. A CNN article says, even controlling for name recognition

 

Biden is doing well.

One instant giveaway of how well he is doing is to compare it to how other candidates who have similar name recognition are doing. Look no further than recent polls of the Iowa caucuses taken by Monmouth University and the New Hampshire primary by St. Anselm College. Both were conducted after a rough couple of weeks for Biden in the news, as he faced allegations of unwanted touching.

Biden, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts all have near-universal name recognition in both states. Do they have the same amount of support in the polls? No.

Biden holds clear leads over Sanders and Warren in both polls. In the Iowa poll, he's ahead 27% to Sanders' 16% to Warren's 7%. In the New Hampshire poll, Biden is up 23% to Sanders' 16% to Warren's 9%.

Go West and Biden's lead holds, per the recent California primary preference poll taken by Quinnipiac University. Biden, at 26%, is beating Sanders, 18%, and Sen. Kamala Harris of California, 16%. In other words, the former vice president is beating the man who earned 46% of the 2016 California presidential primary vote and a very well-known senator in her own backyard.

https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/12/politics/joe-biden-polling-lead-analysis/index.html


The argument that his lead is mainly name recognition and will dissolve as others become better known is clearly flawed. It's real at this point, and if he were unable to hold onto it it would be for other reasons.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Arrow 12 replies Author Time Post
at140 Apr 2019 OP
Gothmog Apr 2019 #1
Demsrule86 Apr 2019 #2
Cha Apr 2019 #4
Cha Apr 2019 #3
Gothmog Apr 2019 #5
LineNew Reply A CNN article says, even controlling for name recognition
Hortensis Apr 2019 #6
MineralMan Apr 2019 #7
oasis Apr 2019 #12
BlueFlorida Apr 2019 #8
FakeNoose Apr 2019 #9
oasis Apr 2019 #10
Scurrilous Apr 2019 #11
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