HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » Democratic Primaries (Forum) » Historian who correctly p... » Reply #3
Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!

Response to UncleNoel (Original post)

Fri Mar 27, 2020, 09:15 AM

3. Interesting read

 

Lichtman had me right up until the end about it not mattering who the opponent is but we'll let that slide.

Not sure we can use history to predict what will happen in November. I've seen some folks here whip out some fancy analysis about how 2020 is just like this or that previous election and then use that to predict a Trump reelection. Joe himself called Trump an "aberration" (correctly, IMO)...and you can't use historical trends in those cases to predict future results because...well, "aberrations" don't fit into past patterns by definition.

Anyway, sure hope Trump doesn't see this article and figure out he's got 6 keys against him and this Lichtman guy therefore says he's gonna lose. The highly stable genius will probably figure "hey, I know...I'll flip Key 11 back in my favor and start a war with Mexico and kick their rapist butts. We got millions of Americans just sitting around doing nothing anyway...we can put them to work earning that 1200 bucks I'm giving them and invade Acapulco. Hey, if I send only the ones who have coronavirus the US case numbers will go down so it'll be a two-fer."
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Reply to this post

Back to OP Alert abuse Link to post in-thread

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Please login to view edit histories.