Reply #2: Actually those '98 predictions were not that far off. "Pubs to pick up

[yellowcanine]

no more than a dozen seats, perhaps far fewer"....essentially that is saying it is a tossup. Dems picked up 5. Within margin or error, I would say. Same with the Senate. Prediction was not much of a change - guess what - no change. Spot on. What pundits may have been saying earlier than mid October doesn't count. Remember it was just a month ago when the pundits were saying the Dems probably had no chance at the Senate and might not even get the House. Now they are saying the Dems have a fair shot at the Senate and the House is close to a lock. I think we have a slightly better than even chance at the Senate and at least a 75% chance of taking the House. Events can still change things but the window on "October Surprises" is closing fast. Actually, we had the October Surprise - FoleyGate the last week of September.