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Reply #11: potential bias - the clumping by geo area must be reflected in the [View All]

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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-25-04 02:51 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. potential bias - the clumping by geo area must be reflected in the
weightings for the stratified sample -

A Nat'l poll has fewer hurdles to jump to get to a proper weighting - this is a bit more work

The bias (a bad word no doubt) is the fact more work means more chance of error.

In anycase what you are saying is that the 4% error - undercount - that always pops up (1980, then 1990, and I forget 2000) is based on a household survey like this one for jobs? interesting.

the employment picture - the jobs growth - is always taken from the payroll survey (and is quoted in histories of Reagan Admin, Clinton Admin, etc)- and the look backs that I am aware of do not show a change in workforce jobs to a higher percentage of folks making a real income from home in the 90's. The "put a job on your resume when the hiring sucks" is the only explanation that rings true - to me - as an explanation of the higher household survey count at this point in time.
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