Are people really banking on disgruntled conservatives?

[vi5]

Honestly, I hear that a lot on here. Call me a cynic but I really hope that nobody is actually counting on these supposed disgruntled conservatives as being either sit-out votes or votes for a dem.

I think the piece on here a few days back from the Log Cabin Repubs proves that point nicely. Just because one particular group, be they libertarian republicans, or log cabin republicans, or religious right republicans may be disgruntled with one or the other aspect of bush policy, the fact is that they are still going to vote for him. Just like we may dislike one or the other policy of a democrat, in the end we are going to vote the overall big picture.

All these alleged "conversions" are well and good and make us feel all jolly and such, and may prove that there is some slight glimmer of hope. But I just do not believe anyone who is a self identified republican is going to vote for a Democrat just because they are mad at bush's spending in one particular area, or his stance on gay marriage, or his failure to pander to the religious right on 1 or 2 issues. At least not enough to make any kind of dent in the numbers we are talking about needing.

God, I hope I'm wrong. I really do. But this just seems like a total pie in the sky thing for us to be counting on or banking on in any way.