Reply #2: Timeline for a draft

[bluestateguy]

This is all contingent on Bush winning. I think the odds of a Kerry draft are slim.

November 2: Bush elected

late November: rumors and news leaks circulate about a possible draft.

December: Bush orders a major increase of troops to Afghanistan and Iraq.

early January, 2005: Bush formally asks Congress to reinstate the draft, for young men only.

late March: Congress enacts a draft, mostly with Republican votes. Democratic amendments to include women fail, in large part due to lobbying by the religious right.

April: Draft boards convene

late April: draft notices are sent out.

October: first inductions begin.

January, 2006: First conscripts arrive in Iraq and Afghanistan to replace combat forces now fighting a new war in either Iran or Syria.